TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0b7…9f11

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Commodities, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 62 out of 100; worst Weather at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT3828.9%11 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$63.38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.97
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 48-49°F on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$17.63
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$9.04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.62
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.62
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.71
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.57
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.2
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.71
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+525%+$105.46
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.48
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.42
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30%+$3.98
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$9.79
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.98
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.77
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.27
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.47
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+100.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+743.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.73
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Mexicobacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$5.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$3.91
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.