Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e4d6592a85d6b3aa6b04416f0bfbcf8a5283dfe93f89cb731cb1b39fc346dec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $625,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $625,146 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 35,744$19,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,547.07 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 16,369$12,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,269.82 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 22c | 15,470$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,066.52 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 79c | 15,451$12,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 78c | 13,740$10,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,715.11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 68c | 12,709$8,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.41 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 8,967$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.05 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 25c | 8,340$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,280.36 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed No | 76c | 6,561$4,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.44 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 52c | 6,402$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.9 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7f…d808backed No | 77c | 5,484$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 16c | 5,276$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.62 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 24c | 5,213$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.38 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 23c | 5,211$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.06 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 57c | 5,204$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Yes | 38c | 4,766$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 4,700$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 77c | 4,565$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.64 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 68c | 4,300$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.14 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 3,923$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.84 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 75c | 3,789$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.21 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 3,150$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.09 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…ed13backed Yes | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…eadabacked Yes | 23c | 2,905$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 14c | 2,527$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.04 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…27c6backed Yes | 23c | 2,406$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 21c | 2,400$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.99 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 23c | 2,392$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.17 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 23c | 2,308$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 50c | 2,226$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.64 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 56c | 2,146$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,133$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.12 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 23c | 2,105$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.15 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 22c | 2,100$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,086$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.57 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…816ebacked No | 77c | 2,022$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 25c | 2,004$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 47c | 1,896$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 66c | 1,804$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.45 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 24c | 1,734$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 23c | 1,590$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.1 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked No | 53c | 1,572$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,562$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.72 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 33c | 1,547$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.63 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.48 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked No | 78c | 1,293$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked No | 79c | 1,267$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…57eabacked Yes | 24c | 1,251$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 26c | 1,150$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.1 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,145$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.36 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…bdf8backed Yes | 25c | 1,135$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 22c | 1,088$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.02 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…02b7backed Yes | 8c | 1,002$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,120.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 16c | 999.94$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 969.53$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.79 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked No | 66c | 956.01$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 46c | 936$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.56 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 78c | 897$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.66 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…3d18backed No | 41c | 851.85$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed No | 50c | 725.84$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 48c | 713.68$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.68 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 28c | 700$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.41 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 22c | 700$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 52c | 692.31$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.82 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 24c | 675$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.67 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 22c | 674.86$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 57c | 626.52$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.75 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 570.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 49c | 570.2$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.04 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 37c | 542.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 20c | 516.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.83 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 503.81$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.12 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 40c | 501.72$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.32 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 62c | 501.22$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.61 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…3176backed Yes | 22c | 481.82$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked No | 45c | 476.11$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 54c | 473.22$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.68 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 50c | 467.64$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…b959backed Yes | 26c | 457.82$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.