Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02a780bfabf18a6309b58e2d8083a88eb8181f1e8117d285668e868356411bd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,670,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,670,768 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 780 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07bd…e993backed Yes | 53c | 1,713,696$906,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906,378.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked No | 47c | 411,943$193,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218,804.58 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 50c | 393,451$195,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,608.15 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 52c | 182,417$94,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,219.65 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 181,989$89,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,664.61 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 52c | 107,960$56,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,139.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 48c | 104,097$49,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,144.23 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 47c | 101,525$47,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,954.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 46c | 98,580$45,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,233.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 48c | 96,744$46,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,306.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 48c | 96,500$46,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,180 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 48c | 83,020$39,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,170.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 48c | 70,000$33,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,400 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 62,332$32,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,984.03 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 47c | 60,000$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,499.98 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 48c | 59,473$28,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,925.82 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 58,684$25,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,446.25 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed No | 47c | 56,935$26,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,175.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 52c | 55,602$28,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,913.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 48c | 52,795$25,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,479.61 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 47c | 47,619$22,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,311.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 46c | 44,922$20,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,147.35 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 49c | 43,425$21,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,278.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 33,868$16,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,673.49 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed No | 51c | 29,361$14,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,386.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 51c | 29,204$14,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,309.74 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed No | 47c | 27,100$12,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,364 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 48c | 26,920$12,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,998.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 48c | 24,320$11,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,657.24 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 53c | 23,781$12,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,606.24 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 47c | 22,848$10,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,109.44 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 21,540$10,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,751.89 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed No | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed No | 48c | 20,000$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 48c | 18,904$9,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,892.69 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 50c | 17,710$8,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,854.22 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 53c | 17,476$9,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,274.74 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 53c | 17,356$9,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,272.93 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 48c | 17,261$8,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,975.69 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 53c | 15,187$8,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,137.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 48c | 14,300$6,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,413 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 50c | 13,872$6,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,878.77 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed No | 51c | 11,375$5,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,575.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Yes | 50c | 11,375$5,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 50c | 11,312$5,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,655.84 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 53c | 10,700$5,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed No | 47c | 10,615$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,625.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 47c | 10,571$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,570.87 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 49c | 10,384$5,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.31 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed No | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,240 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 51c | 9,687$4,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.36 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 48c | 9,264$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,817.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 50c | 8,636$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 50c | 8,230$4,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,115 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 48c | 7,530$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.81 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 47c | 7,000$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed No | 51c | 6,746$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 6,617$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.33 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yes | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 47c | 5,243$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 48c | 5,197$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 50c | 5,145$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.49 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 4c | 5,030$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 47c | 5,018$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked No | 49c | 4,790$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 53c | 4,627$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 50c | 4,495$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Yes | 50c | 4,444$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 4,443$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.29 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed No | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 48c | 4,173$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…57d6backed No | 52c | 4,100$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…4c92backed Yes | 49c | 4,100$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Yes | 49c | 4,089$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes | 50c | 4,050$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 51c | 3,890$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 26c | 3,849$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 48c | 3,337$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.12 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 48c | 3,333$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.82 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 47c | 3,088$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.64 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…34e4backed No | 46c | 2,895$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.