Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4540766b0009d28564cbcec6662d8087c6bb85e7ec6d0eef0423e645491bf0eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,348 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 28c | 39,911$11,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,174.45 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 73c | 38,000$27,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,259.89 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 29c | 30,087$8,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,713.41 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 74c | 27,028$20,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,901.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 22,858$17,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,738.03 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 72c | 20,660$14,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,785.09 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes | 29c | 17,280$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 13,211$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.98 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 26c | 10,608$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.04 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ce29backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 9,879$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.93 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 26c | 9,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 6,384$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.97 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 71c | 6,100$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 73c | 5,991$4,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4303…9f4cbacked Yes | 26c | 5,510$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 73c | 5,130$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 4,074$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.89 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 28c | 3,974$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 28c | 3,811$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 72c | 2,941$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 2,430$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.94 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 2,200$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 28c | 1,788$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 17c | 1,777$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.11 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 26c | 1,750$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…6a60backed No | 72c | 1,724$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 1,693$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.45 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 72c | 1,285$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…9625backed Yes | 29c | 1,042$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 1,025$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.61 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…9fd4backed Yes | 28c | 1,015$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 996.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.05 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 24c | 918.98$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Yes | 29c | 899.75$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 24c | 800$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 73c | 766.89$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.47 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…a1eebacked Yes | 28c | 750.41$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…062ebacked Yes | 28c | 708.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 73c | 641.72$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 31c | 628.47$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked No | 72c | 625$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7f…a00dbacked Yes | 29c | 603.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 21c | 599.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 29c | 519.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 8c | 499.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 72c | 493.11$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.07 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…f5e2backed Yes | 28c | 491.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…b900backed No | 73c | 456.49$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 441.61$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…5bb6backed Yes | 28c | 432.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…eb0dbacked No | 72c | 428.6$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 73c | 426.24$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…b420backed Yes | 27c | 425.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc381…e24bbacked Yes | 28c | 423.46$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 27c | 386.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…23b1backed Yes | 29c | 381.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 27c | 380.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 80c | 372.82$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7835…4ad1backed Yes | 28c | 358.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 28c | 358.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…03b7backed Yes | 28c | 355.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 15c | 299.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 21c | 278.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 27c | 269.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Yes | 27c | 253.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 249$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 26c | 238.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 72c | 233.84$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…f89fbacked No | 73c | 225.71$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…9874backed No | 73c | 214.76$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 72c | 209.79$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 24c | 200.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 27c | 192.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 175.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…de43backed Yes | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Yes | 24c | 158$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e26…865abacked No | 74c | 153.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…9de2backed No | 73c | 148.78$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d13…4220backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 28c | 145$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 29c | 144.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe00…c4f3backed No | 73c | 144.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 28c | 143.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.