Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a26ae6a148973a8db2f9247ecdcc20a796f72f133e92c0f5657d7e683ef2e97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $414,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,805 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 70c | 135,562$94,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,586.26 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes | 31c | 124,911$38,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,722.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 70c | 68,456$47,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,569.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 45,102$14,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,167.09 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 69c | 43,478$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,478.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 69c | 16,640$11,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 13,537$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.14 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 10,300$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.05 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 30c | 9,649$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.96 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 8,796$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.52 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 8,185$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.89 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 69c | 7,375$5,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 24c | 7,361$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.04 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 5,967$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.56 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 30c | 5,180$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 30c | 3,985$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed No | 69c | 2,610$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…d9bbbacked Yes | 30c | 2,300$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 30c | 2,045$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…0842backed Yes | 31c | 1,962$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 28c | 1,785$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…f14fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 30c | 1,663$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.32 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,580$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 30c | 1,544$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.54 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 30c | 1,371$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.71 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 70c | 1,251$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.18 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 29c | 1,248$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Yes | 29c | 1,190$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 31c | 1,130$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 66c | 1,089$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.75 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,083$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.32 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,076$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.19 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…9625backed Yes | 31c | 1,004$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 30c | 1,001$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 30c | 999.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 69c | 968.27$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes | 30c | 963.33$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 30c | 896.67$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 66c | 868.59$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 29c | 862.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 854.04$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 30c | 833$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 30c | 805.09$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…0620backed Yes | 31c | 789.18$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 788.49$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.45 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…14fbbacked Yes | 30c | 736.5$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 32c | 692.42$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 70c | 672.74$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.82 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked No | 69c | 654.57$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 30c | 650$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 29c | 649.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.49 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 28c | 600.03$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.26 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6538…0a4dbacked Yes | 30c | 599.1$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 71c | 565.03$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.86 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 69c | 510.8$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 486.48$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 28c | 443.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 427.08$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 29c | 416.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 32c | 415.59$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x662f…c8d0backed Yes | 29c | 411.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…5f6dbacked Yes | 30c | 401.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 18c | 379.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 30c | 376.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…d620backed No | 71c | 363.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8c…bb53backed Yes | 30c | 358.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba2…c8a4backed Yes | 29c | 358.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…7d36backed No | 70c | 357.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 15c | 340.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 23c | 340$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849d…2e75backed Yes | 30c | 338.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 30c | 334.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 38c | 319.44$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…3320backed Yes | 29c | 317.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeae…6366backed Yes | 29c | 307.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 30c | 300.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.