TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,202 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c19,485$6,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,444.331,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No69c9,368$6,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,462.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No69c8,907$6,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,147.9850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f07…f1bcbacked No69c7,536$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes31c7,531$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,196.337851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c7,408$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,014.063,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c6,364$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,391.3691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No25c5,020$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.627237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No21c3,191$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.142755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No68c2,896$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.24812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.46per pick59cpaid-83.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb485…20a5backed Yes72c2,808$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.129100%9 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes31c2,545$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.193256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…efa4backed No59c2,473$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed No69c2,159$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Yes31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.918747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes56c1,989$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.6144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes33c1,649$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.3452243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes31c1,316$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.1384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No71c1,094$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.219668.8%66 W · 30 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes40c1,036$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.072,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6902733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No73c975.05$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.7163857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes32c940.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.442050%10 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes32c750$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.242334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes24c705.66$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.578344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…944ebacked Yes32c626.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4251952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No69c525.4$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3622356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes34c494.91$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.862,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes31c467.17$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.883557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c457.55$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.8235158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x136e…763abacked Yes32c407.52$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+213.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Yes32c391.85$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.853444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes41c390.24$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.246363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes27c374.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.111513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Yes26c355.54$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0129…52cdbacked Yes32c354.87$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked No63c351.85$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes28c348.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.983141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes43c338.02$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6721835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2c…ae0abacked Yes32c326.59$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+216.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No58c324.16$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0112166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb345…90d7backed Yes31c322$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes32c313.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.615850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes32c313.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.48837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes32c313.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.431822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes32c313.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.123135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd47a…4e85backed No29c302$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.741844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2078949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20711843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d8e…7fe3backed No59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-56.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.226331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No65c287.04$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3323461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes30c268.63$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.049054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes38c259.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2420048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880c…f5e2backed Yes32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No47c248.71$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5512345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Yes43c232.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes32c232.37$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.241947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No54c232.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.281942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No61c231.54$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.375236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes51c230.07$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1817956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes41c213.95$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.513050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13815949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed No60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes31c199.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.993351.5%17 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick62cpaid0%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No64c184.17$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.114654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes39c180.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.057553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes32c158.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.694841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf339…698cbacked Yes32c157.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+57.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x803f…d466backed Yes32c156.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb756…5846backed Yes32c150.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.47955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes32c145$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.831637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3181…cc2fbacked Yes32c143$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes32c140.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.634454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x492b…7813backed Yes32c140$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed No29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd76c…440cbacked Yes31c136$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf225…7b2dbacked Yes32c133$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+149.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe2…e1eebacked Yes32c125.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8f…99e1backed No69c123.44$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc9…1146backed No69c121.27$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.113212.5%4 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-66.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e84…16cdbacked No69c117.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a0…6ea4backed No69c114.28$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No45c112.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0833522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c110$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.98240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc130…ceccbacked No69c108.52$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No23c106$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-82%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes32c100.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.313231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688747.1%41 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed No69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.91747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.113337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8824…a60fbacked No69c96.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Yes32c94.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.041560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes32c94.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.04933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.