TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,434 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes37c30,346$11,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,228.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No63c18,915$11,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,000.8911246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No63c15,610$9,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,775.791250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes30c15,000$4,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,531.83852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No62c14,000$8,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,261.134259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No63c13,708$8,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,071.952560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c12,340$7,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,890.181,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes37c11,386$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.6438247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c10,094$7,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.432,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No62c9,889$6,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.713149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c8,505$3,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,255.3414740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No63c7,817$4,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,892.291957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes37c6,525$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.5233349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes38c5,270$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes15c5,109$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.1978344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes30c4,849$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.622050%10 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes38c4,284$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.3884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No62c4,032$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.261442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes21c3,837$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.687237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes7c3,802$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.5913666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes29c3,411$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes39c3,205$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2503836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Yes37c3,082$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.421947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.999054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes21c2,720$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.0344952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes38c2,708$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No62c2,405$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.171650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa640…d9bbbacked Yes29c2,338$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No68c2,004$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.441968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No63c2,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7507963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.353154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c46…2d80backed No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…3becbacked Yes39c1,784$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c1,734$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.763,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes22c1,708$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-81.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes37c1,700$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63614042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.341181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes27c1,532$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.6852243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes38c1,319$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes39c1,309$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Yes40c1,254$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No77c1,249$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.0412166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.996753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes11c1,170$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6317956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes26c1,075$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2755927.1%16 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes21c1,068$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.181216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2227…57eabacked Yes39c1,027$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+108.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…4568backed No67c1,018$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes27c1,001$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.352725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb37…5a6bbacked Yes40c995.99$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No61c945.62$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.193557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Yes18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No60c799.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3209852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ef…e9fabacked No61c770$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.07450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee0…94c7backed Yes40c760$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5176…9712backed Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…b24abacked No61c740$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d6…bdf8backed Yes40c700.85$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.64540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No61c700$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.711153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9fc…0996backed Yes39c650.38$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No78c647.17$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0614963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed No62c646.2$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.22552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes14c600.05$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.015337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e2f…8fa0backed No61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes39c599$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0355545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No61c592.31$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No66c569.18$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.18825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes9c568.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.537553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Yes24c524.64$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.62222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes35c514.29$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd118…e9c9backed Yes39c510.36$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c508.26$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7425157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc736…e547backed Yes40c501.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d52…f748backed Yes40c500.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19018049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd069…d068backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes40c499.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes12c486.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.342,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked No62c484.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.521030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes37c476.41$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.274228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c438.87$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7191950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4f…267ebacked No64c423.6$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes29c400$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No69c367.04$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.42425%6 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes35c363.6$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.933141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd7…eebfbacked Yes38c356.37$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No64c350.41$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7921835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No61c350$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.654047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes29c350$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.56046.7%28 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No78c335.77$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0812345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes15c331.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.195123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No62c330$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.737067.1%47 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed No68c328.25$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes26c321.47$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6720048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes40c311.32$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.465540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe759…5813backed Yes35c309.42$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes30c300.42$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.358117.3%14 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.