Middle East · resolved market
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d9bff1f5b31c37b118da599f98fdedab4a5c6aefba1eee01cdd490ecbc7d275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,909 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c4…68c5backed Yes | 49c | 105,830$51,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,334 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…88b9backed No | 51c | 105,769$54,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,304.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 14c | 11,877$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.36 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 80c | 11,496$9,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 7c | 3,542$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.79 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,755$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.26 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 14c | 1,395$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd620…f3bbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,049$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 4c | 1,013$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 61c | 1,004$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.39 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed No | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 14c | 969.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 13c | 793.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 38c | 666.18$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.82 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…50c7backed Yes | 29c | 653.49$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.95 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…3727backed Yes | 6c | 640$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 15c | 594.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…35ddbacked No | 59c | 520.13$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…450fbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…1e51backed Yes | 9c | 500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e0…e3b4backed No | 54c | 483.6$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…a200backed No | 61c | 426.5$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 14c | 401.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 26c | 383.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 17c | 357.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…bc1fbacked Yes | 28c | 351.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…6d43backed No | 58c | 345$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 33c | 301.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Yes | 35c | 288.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676c…b4abbacked Yes | 28c | 275$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…d308backed No | 60c | 273.45$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.29per pick | 63cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…2bc6backed Yes | 8c | 261.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 23c | 249.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed Yes | 30c | 248.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…8e67backed Yes | 45c | 219.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Yes | 17c | 219.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…e942backed Yes | 29c | 210$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…637dbacked Yes | 34c | 207.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…24cabacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…c8b4backed Yes | 8c | 199.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed No | 75c | 196.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…3f91backed Yes | 8c | 194.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 42c | 194.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2c…621ebacked Yes | 38c | 190.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…02ebbacked No | 57c | 176.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…da13backed Yes | 11c | 174.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 12c | 166.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…68d9backed Yes | 29c | 165$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…cbb8backed Yes | 49c | 163.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b817backed No | 50c | 159.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…834cbacked No | 77c | 141.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…8033backed No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…8608backed No | 72c | 139.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd153…f9a3backed Yes | 16c | 138.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…21c7backed No | 58c | 136.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed Yes | 38c | 135.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…fc65backed Yes | 19c | 134.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…3a3cbacked No | 76c | 130.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 8c | 126.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 12c | 117.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 61c | 116.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…68f8backed No | 67c | 112.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…c4d8backed Yes | 31c | 111.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a2…510bbacked Yes | 54c | 110.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29ba…5a07backed Yes | 24c | 104.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes | 60c | 100.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…1745backed No | 75c | 100.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…0314backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…72acbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…8bb7backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked No | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…f9d3backed No | 58c | 99.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…9151backed No | 56c | 97.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 95.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked No | 49c | 95.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…db9bbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…ae9cbacked Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…ea1bbacked Yes | 55c | 90.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…67b1backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5841…cd1dbacked Yes | 45c | 82.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b7…9f11backed Yes | 53c | 70.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f8…7158backed Yes | 55c | 70.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…fb24backed No | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…0471backed Yes | 30c | 68.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…e8ccbacked No | 75c | 67.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e07…c5cdbacked No | 47c | 64.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba44…269abacked No | 59c | 63.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 49c | 62.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f049backed No | 59c | 61.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…beeabacked Yes | 41c | 60.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e2…e6a9backed No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed No | 58c | 46.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9392…c94dbacked No | 54c | 44.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…bdadbacked No | 69c | 43.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc3…e9a2backed No | 70c | 43.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.