NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa013bcbca61fdb72d2b252e3bfa77849594f4acf1fa6a053a64fa49bd6f51a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Ducks, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,755,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,755,962 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Ducks | 50c | 406,547$202,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,893.77 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 275,932$139,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,210.29 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 109,999$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,999.5 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ducks | 49c | 93,446$45,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,787.31 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 90,009$45,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,613.06 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 74,000$37,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,999.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 49c | 48,538$23,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,839.77 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Ducks | 50c | 43,783$21,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,889.98 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 34,184$17,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,094.29 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 34,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 27,626$14,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,953.69 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Ducks | 50c | 22,222$11,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,110.89 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Ducks | 49c | 21,500$10,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,531.37 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 20,000$10,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800.82 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 18,224$9,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,110.5 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Ducks | 50c | 16,001$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.78 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 49c | 11,278$5,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,563.96 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Ducks | 60c | 10,687$6,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,358.65 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Ducks | 54c | 10,423$5,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,621.01 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Ducks | 49c | 10,205$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Ducks | 49c | 10,000$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,897.67 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.42 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Ducks | 49c | 9,556$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709.97 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 9,264$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.51 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Ducks | 50c | 8,807$4,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,403.25 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Ducks | 68c | 8,511$5,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,746.14 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Ducks | 47c | 8,369$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.42 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 8,283$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,144.12 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Ducks | 49c | 7,760$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Ducks | 49c | 7,726$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.18 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 7,679$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.88 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Ducks | 49c | 7,300$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.13 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 48c | 6,866$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,295.9 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 49c | 6,722$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.02 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…1e59backed Ducks | 49c | 6,579$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks | 37c | 6,236$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.94 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Ducks | 49c | 6,202$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.11 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 50c | 6,037$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.67 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 6,000$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.31 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…46a4backed Ducks | 49c | 5,750$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…5ab5backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,750$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 5,688$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.18 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 5,605$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.04 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 5,454$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.02 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 5,000$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.51 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 49c | 4,549$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.8 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Ducks | 49c | 4,154$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.34 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Ducks | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Ducks | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.03 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 3,850$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.72 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…12d1backed Ducks | 49c | 3,642$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Ducks | 60c | 3,602$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.32 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…da50backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 3,598$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Ducks | 49c | 3,580$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…3feabacked Ducks | 45c | 3,359$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Ducks | 78c | 3,279$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.94 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Ducks | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…ed3dbacked Ducks | 49c | 3,030$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Ducks | 50c | 2,888$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 53c | 2,847$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.47 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,800$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…e95cbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,687$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe632…7735backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,620$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,610$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.95 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,505$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.81 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,500$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.15 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks | 47c | 2,485$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.14 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,431$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.01 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 2,242$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ducks | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,222$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.11 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,192$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.15 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Ducks | 50c | 2,187$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.82 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 2,120$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Ducks | 50c | 2,050$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6b…103bbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,041$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,037$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…ff1cbacked Ducks | 49c | 2,035$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Ducks | 49c | 2,011$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.85 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…def4backed Ducks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…971bbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5418…4bc4backed Ducks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Ducks | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…0d32backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,995$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5c…6c20backed Ducks | 49c | 1,995$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a77…6ecabacked Ducks | 49c | 1,995$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…3cb9backed Ducks | 49c | 1,995$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7442…2eeabacked Ducks | 49c | 1,995$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…a8acbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,995$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf73a…004dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,995$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.55 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +61%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7a…d062backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,995$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3393…d91cbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,995$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0546…4b44backed Ducks | 49c | 1,995$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Ducks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.