Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf75c23f760ae1b98b69d7f12a133deaafbc8a83518435169c43034aab41fceba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $429,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,788 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 5c | 5,350$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…a9a5backed No | 6c | 3,992$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…7b9bbacked No | 6c | 3,864$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…92e0backed No | 6c | 3,608$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…f7bfbacked No | 6c | 3,485$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b55…a6a4backed No | 6c | 3,384$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…5626backed No | 6c | 2,973$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd40…27a1backed No | 6c | 2,890$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…a9febacked No | 6c | 2,711$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…aacebacked No | 6c | 2,581$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…cea5backed No | 6c | 2,579$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b0…0326backed No | 6c | 2,541$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…56d4backed No | 6c | 2,483$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…66b9backed No | 6c | 2,376$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…d25bbacked No | 6c | 2,354$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…ff48backed No | 6c | 2,349$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ed…24d6backed No | 6c | 2,311$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…695ebacked No | 7c | 2,199$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…acaabacked No | 7c | 2,174$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…9ab9backed No | 6c | 2,159$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6755…2af0backed No | 7c | 2,140$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…36babacked No | 6c | 2,105$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…0e59backed No | 6c | 2,104$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c8…cad4backed No | 7c | 2,092$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…1dc7backed No | 7c | 2,069$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…c727backed No | 6c | 2,035$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba0…09febacked No | 7c | 1,951$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…6780backed No | 6c | 1,934$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…c605backed No | 6c | 1,878$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe623…93fdbacked No | 6c | 1,855$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…8ab7backed No | 7c | 1,827$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…cbe2backed No | 6c | 1,808$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…cf66backed No | 7c | 1,790$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de9…4d20backed No | 7c | 1,736$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d0…52ddbacked No | 7c | 1,732$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd0…a29ebacked No | 6c | 1,680$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…1ac1backed No | 7c | 1,664$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…7dd6backed No | 6c | 1,627$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…363abacked No | 6c | 1,585$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8b…4ccebacked No | 6c | 1,572$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…bb00backed No | 6c | 1,556$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…2a64backed No | 6c | 1,554$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c5…f1e7backed No | 6c | 1,553$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…5159backed No | 6c | 1,548$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 1,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…459fbacked No | 6c | 1,485$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…f689backed No | 6c | 1,483$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…c12ebacked No | 6c | 1,442$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…245dbacked No | 5c | 1,420$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…704cbacked No | 7c | 1,393$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad80…73f1backed No | 6c | 1,391$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0913…a5d6backed No | 7c | 1,365$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e58…a3d2backed No | 7c | 1,362$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…6a54backed No | 7c | 1,344$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 17c | 1,343$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.26 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…63b7backed No | 6c | 1,319$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…8ec7backed No | 6c | 1,309$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65b…b7dcbacked No | 7c | 1,281$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…6a45backed No | 6c | 1,276$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…82b0backed No | 6c | 1,256$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…fef9backed No | 6c | 1,233$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…8394backed No | 6c | 1,209$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…9952backed No | 6c | 1,188$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2e…c7ebbacked No | 3c | 1,151$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…06f1backed No | 6c | 1,147$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…01d7backed No | 6c | 1,140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5a…5e87backed No | 7c | 1,105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…4dd0backed No | 6c | 1,104$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…e874backed No | 6c | 1,100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…396abacked No | 6c | 1,073$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…9a21backed No | 6c | 1,062$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…f53bbacked No | 6c | 1,018$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…ad99backed No | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…1079backed No | 6c | 954$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 9c | 944.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…cf77backed No | 6c | 941$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c1…66c8backed No | 7c | 938$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…5d9dbacked No | 8c | 933$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…e352backed No | 6c | 925$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…c537backed No | 6c | 921$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…6bddbacked No | 6c | 903$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a5…36f3backed No | 6c | 889$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…91c9backed No | 6c | 884$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…b626backed No | 6c | 861$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…d276backed No | 7c | 852$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2e…391ebacked No | 6c | 848$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…4b9dbacked No | 7c | 848$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…fe13backed No | 6c | 821$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…954bbacked No | 6c | 811$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…8e24backed No | 6c | 807$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 6c | 769.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…3972backed No | 6c | 763$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c30…3248backed No | 6c | 689$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…c0b9backed No | 6c | 684$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…7632backed No | 6c | 680$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f2…ec38backed No | 6c | 679$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…c177backed No | 6c | 625$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd07c…e4e0backed No | 7c | 615$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1474…f1d1backed No | 3c | 612$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Yes | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?this page
- Will CaSándra Claiborne be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?No won
- Will Casey Chlebek be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?No won
- Will Jeannie Evans be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?No won
- Will Jimmy Lee Tillman II be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?No won
- Will John Goodman be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?No won
- Will Pamela Denise Long be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?No won
- Will R. Cary Capparelli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.