Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x490cb44cf71dfa1e77520a9e3e6f1c0de71e86bcb10035c657982ef0f77ab826
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $577,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,628 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 59c | 42,195$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 51c | 31,360$16,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,308.31 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 22,384$13,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,444.12 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Yes | 37c | 21,647$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,646.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 58c | 19,415$11,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,232.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 42c | 16,800$7,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,743.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 42c | 15,557$6,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,023.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 58c | 11,651$6,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,757.54 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 10,697$6,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,205.33 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 41c | 10,424$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,176.2 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 43c | 10,001$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700.78 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…404fbacked Yes | 34c | 8,824$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,823.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 59c | 8,477$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 43c | 8,447$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,823.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 34c | 8,100$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,346 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 58c | 6,903$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.71 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 52c | 6,722$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.94 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 42c | 6,690$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.48 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 60c | 6,448$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 5,841$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.52 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 57c | 5,798$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.03 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 8c | 5,575$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.74 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 38c | 5,302$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 6c | 5,206$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.1 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 42c | 4,236$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 57c | 3,818$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.82 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 60c | 3,643$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.37 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 64c | 2,813$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 36c | 2,756$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.54 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 47c | 2,532$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…d0eebacked No | 57c | 2,127$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +181.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 47c | 2,053$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.98 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 43c | 1,987$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 1,844$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.49 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 1,778$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.3 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 58c | 1,697$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.28 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 58c | 1,676$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.42 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…84bbbacked Yes | 42c | 1,645$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +173.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 43c | 1,556$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.85 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 42c | 1,530$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.06 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0244…1466backed No | 59c | 1,519$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…dddabacked Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 1,468$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.03 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 57c | 1,429$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.6 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 58c | 1,415$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1848…0a09backed Yes | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 1,288$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.84 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 43c | 1,266$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.43 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,211$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 32c | 1,205$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.34 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 11c | 1,200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…3becbacked Yes | 43c | 1,078$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…2ccdbacked No | 59c | 1,025$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…9ed6backed Yes | 42c | 952.41$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…4034backed Yes | 42c | 947.74$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 42c | 942.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.27 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 43c | 938.74$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…f117backed Yes | 43c | 932.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +86%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 58c | 899.95$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.97 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…9625backed Yes | 34c | 882.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed No | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…9f55backed Yes | 43c | 863.92$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 58c | 862.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…d31cbacked Yes | 43c | 846.01$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0edc…59b1backed No | 58c | 796.24$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 42c | 794.75$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.75 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 42c | 777.66$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 39c | 766.46$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.77 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 40c | 753.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.08 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…83cfbacked No | 59c | 750$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…0d61backed Yes | 42c | 740$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 38c | 735.89$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 41c | 730$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.84 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 33c | 729.66$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.55 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 722.32$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.3 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 59c | 720$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84e…f1dbbacked Yes | 42c | 720$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…aa17backed No | 59c | 710$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 43c | 698.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.79 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 40c | 640.75$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.23 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 42c | 599.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 42c | 595.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.55 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd7…aa43backed Yes | 34c | 588.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 40c | 515$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.84 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.