TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,374 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c28,795$21,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,136.4884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c18,325$5,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.23,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.981090%9 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick73cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes31c8,578$2,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.4752243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes4c4,596$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.967237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No67c3,962$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.341190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes25c2,316$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.5876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No70c1,947$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.393557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c1,935$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.4325157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes30c1,671$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.311020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c54…efa4backed No61c1,643$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c1,450$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.921,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c1,168$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.49054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+82%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes30c990.79$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.282725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes19c905$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.952917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes29c857.11$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1321835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…944ebacked Yes30c667.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Yes19c657.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes21c634.19$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5d…2d94backed No71c482.98$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes30c458.25$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.231952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c427.75$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc378…c05abacked Yes30c397.24$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No80c387.39$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8835158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10e…f4e2backed No71c378.99$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes30c357.86$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes21c354.89$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed No71c352.61$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.61875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes12c350$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370f…c4e4backed Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes28c299.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8421243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3d…2a01backed Yes29c286.71$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes19c258.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.041513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5222…a3b7backed No71c250.98$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Yes29c241.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0418…9bd3backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ca…15f8backed No71c209.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6497…d577backed No72c198.62$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Yes33c197.06$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc255…c3d8backed No71c172$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes30c166.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92e8…bde5backed No71c162$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No61c160$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.085236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74ac…8f58backed No71c155$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes27c152.84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8533522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x59ab…c505backed No71c148$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x652a…083bbacked No71c145.01$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b9…f128backed No71c144$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0fb…5446backed No71c142$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes29c130$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.743344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb8…df4ebacked No71c130$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes29c129.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1817956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x979a…546bbacked No71c128.39$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e7…5a3abacked No71c127$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked No71c124.17$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.131844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a6…338ebacked No71c123.84$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6764…ae37backed No71c120.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No59c104$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.964654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes29c103.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306050%30 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa183…d2a1backed No71c102.61$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed Yes21c101.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.753616.7%6 W · 30 L-9.3wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-70.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes25c101.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255032%16 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.913337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305676.8%43 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe06c…235bbacked Yes21c97.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-86.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes43c93.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick62cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed No72c92.04$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.861662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf86…5394backed Yes27c90.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fc4…f864backed No71c88.1$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes29c85.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7345135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes30c81.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.47825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2371…4d2dbacked Yes30c80.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.121637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x983c…ee3dbacked Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a3…ffb4backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No70c69.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9119546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes31c67.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.027055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb329…2a8cbacked Yes20c67.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.574951%25 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40dd…6816backed Yes30c66.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b64…72eabacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No56c64.48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.171172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.