NHL · resolved market
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8f63bb47b2a7c2e0c1be3cedf4075079b11c07476d76a9469065b0c4791961a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,646,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,025,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,646,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 7,525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed No | 68c | 280,630$190,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,182.09 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…5765backed Yes | 0c | 255,182$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed No | 62c | 149,560$92,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,144.11 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 36c | 120,933$43,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,144.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…c110backed Yes | 22c | 108,600$24,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,109.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9748…8afcbacked Yes | 22c | 105,876$23,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,504.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Yes | 22c | 100,099$21,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,875.63 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Yes | 41c | 95,275$39,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,087.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 29c | 94,379$27,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,574.69 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…3364backed Yes | 22c | 89,896$19,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,867.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9822…ec5cbacked Yes | 21c | 74,864$16,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,020.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Yes | 19c | 58,113$11,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,275.46 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…3303backed No | 78c | 54,525$42,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,104.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 29c | 54,162$15,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,439.52 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…6078backed Yes | 15c | 53,267$8,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,202.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 27c | 49,488$13,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,436.24 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…8570backed Yes | 10c | 41,622$4,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 5c | 40,200$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…03abbacked No | 78c | 40,000$31,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked No | 64c | 37,325$23,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,478.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 34c | 34,283$11,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,558.23 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 9c | 33,310$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.48 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x494d…3a42backed No | 78c | 32,722$25,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,231.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…5134backed No | 79c | 32,156$25,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,881.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 61c | 30,600$18,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,805.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…95d9backed No | 77c | 30,011$23,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,777.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…44a0backed No | 78c | 29,818$23,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,589.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Yes | 36c | 29,609$10,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,719.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Yes | 40c | 28,390$11,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,215.59 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…c1e1backed No | 78c | 28,200$21,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,260.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6e…9624backed No | 78c | 27,356$21,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,045.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…3495backed No | 78c | 27,300$21,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,060.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…3ef1backed No | 78c | 26,700$20,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,927.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…1a62backed No | 78c | 26,400$20,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,860.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 77c | 25,810$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,809.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 25c | 24,404$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.22 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 28c | 24,300$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,789.69 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ff…dc64backed Yes | 24c | 23,000$5,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,612 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 22,776$5,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,134.88 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes | 29c | 22,722$6,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,593.53 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Yes | 12c | 22,702$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.33 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…dbe7backed Yes | 18c | 22,700$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…0456backed Yes | 23c | 22,498$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,064.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa818…0de9backed Yes | 18c | 22,450$3,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 69c | 22,367$15,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,935.45 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…55d6backed No | 79c | 22,367$17,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,786.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…8244backed No | 77c | 22,017$16,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,025.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3874…dd21backed Yes | 18c | 22,000$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…1827backed Yes | 23c | 21,698$4,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…62f7backed Yes | 22c | 21,564$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,803.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4073…3cbabacked Yes | 24c | 20,926$5,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,052.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…721cbacked No | 79c | 20,341$15,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…f19cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…cc58backed Yes | 22c | 19,509$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.26 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…72dbbacked Yes | 34c | 19,389$6,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,589.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…279ebacked Yes | 23c | 19,030$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…3fb7backed Yes | 23c | 19,018$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc784…f347backed Yes | 23c | 18,764$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9be…9e9fbacked Yes | 22c | 18,590$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ca…4478backed Yes | 23c | 18,550$4,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,265.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7a…8f9fbacked Yes | 22c | 18,420$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…e312backed Yes | 23c | 18,275$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2312…b272backed Yes | 23c | 18,235$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…e71cbacked Yes | 23c | 18,117$4,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf283…9215backed Yes | 23c | 18,059$4,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,153.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…8843backed Yes | 22c | 18,008$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…331cbacked Yes | 23c | 18,006$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,171.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f5…f730backed Yes | 24c | 18,004$4,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6338…efd9backed Yes | 23c | 17,950$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b3…ac5fbacked Yes | 23c | 17,875$4,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…f437backed Yes | 23c | 17,856$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8751…1f1cbacked Yes | 24c | 17,840$4,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…eb90backed Yes | 22c | 17,795$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…9ee8backed Yes | 23c | 17,760$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…1273backed Yes | 25c | 17,714$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…99b0backed Yes | 22c | 17,609$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 41c | 17,376$7,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,092.65 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…ef37backed Yes | 22c | 17,284$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…ea64backed Yes | 22c | 17,268$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…bac7backed Yes | 22c | 17,267$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa841…2fb4backed Yes | 24c | 17,248$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…22efbacked Yes | 22c | 17,245$3,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…a820backed Yes | 23c | 17,175$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…ceadbacked Yes | 24c | 17,172$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…80ebbacked Yes | 21c | 17,116$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79bb…799dbacked Yes | 22c | 17,104$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…628bbacked Yes | 23c | 17,088$3,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…a07fbacked Yes | 24c | 17,073$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 21c | 17,036$3,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.74 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 59c | 17,027$10,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,008.45 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…b82bbacked Yes | 22c | 16,984$3,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,736.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a5…1e65backed Yes | 22c | 16,894$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…a6a1backed Yes | 23c | 16,790$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…00acbacked Yes | 23c | 16,680$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 21c | 16,639$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.21 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…b87ebacked Yes | 23c | 16,631$3,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4968…3fedbacked Yes | 24c | 16,596$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651b…3df3backed Yes | 22c | 16,587$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…c602backed Yes | 23c | 16,328$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d35…69f1backed Yes | 22c | 16,219$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.