NHL · resolved market
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdd688664b4f3cf7ec4ec011607934fe8ae720c08353fc14a6e9dfbf6bbcf11a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,977,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,750,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,977,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 14c | 176,291$24,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,031.55 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 13c | 103,645$13,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,387.44 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…8057backed Yes | 13c | 90,789$11,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,813.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Yes | 13c | 51,855$6,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,925.26 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 14c | 40,654$5,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,746.75 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 10c | 25,360$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.63 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 5c | 23,875$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.96 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 10c | 21,717$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.39 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 10c | 16,276$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 8c | 14,414$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.64 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 12c | 13,336$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 13c | 10,524$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.53 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 13c | 8,672$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.29 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Yes | 6c | 7,961$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes | 9c | 7,299$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yes | 15c | 6,130$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f2abbacked Yes | 14c | 5,863$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…0f99backed Yes | 14c | 5,836$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…7e7ebacked Yes | 14c | 5,825$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…f0e4backed Yes | 14c | 5,802$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…54cfbacked Yes | 14c | 5,662$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 16c | 5,500$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 9c | 5,461$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.2 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…cc58backed Yes | 5c | 5,064$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.42 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…8d41backed Yes | 14c | 4,760$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4188…8549backed Yes | 14c | 4,725$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…0508backed Yes | 14c | 4,725$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…226ebacked Yes | 14c | 4,723$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…78debacked Yes | 14c | 4,717$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767d…c425backed Yes | 14c | 4,715$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…7830backed Yes | 14c | 4,711$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876c…a527backed Yes | 14c | 4,706$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e53…fe85backed Yes | 14c | 4,695$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…0d96backed Yes | 14c | 4,679$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d31…6c71backed Yes | 14c | 4,667$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2c…ad36backed Yes | 14c | 4,665$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab6…46e0backed Yes | 14c | 4,664$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5ddbacked Yes | 14c | 4,663$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065a…8d79backed Yes | 14c | 4,655$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…9e51backed Yes | 14c | 4,641$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 4,633$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.24 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 9c | 4,332$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.2 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 14c | 4,266$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.23 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e4…790dbacked Yes | 14c | 4,060$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…0daebacked Yes | 14c | 3,994$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 15c | 3,856$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.47 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…22b6backed Yes | 13c | 3,830$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Yes | 11c | 3,654$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.73 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cba…a822backed Yes | 8c | 3,561$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 3,538$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.75 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Yes | 15c | 3,401$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,338$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.81 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,192$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.87 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 14c | 3,130$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.34 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…c246backed Yes | 7c | 3,046$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.33 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,563$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.84 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 15c | 2,531$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…1734backed Yes | 14c | 2,482$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +385.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fd…10c6backed Yes | 14c | 2,369$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eef…d0ecbacked Yes | 14c | 2,355$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…ff29backed Yes | 14c | 2,331$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…958dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,308$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 8c | 2,263$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 14c | 2,223$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…7b3cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,162$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,089$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,997$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.66 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…d612backed Yes | 13c | 1,966$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 13c | 1,942$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 11c | 1,875$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc356…e52abacked Yes | 13c | 1,850$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Yes | 12c | 1,806$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.18 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 8c | 1,762$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 1,698$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 12c | 1,654$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.25 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 10c | 1,635$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.71 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 8c | 1,629$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.04 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 12c | 1,626$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 12c | 1,583$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.21 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…3cf8backed Yes | 10c | 1,537$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 14c | 1,536$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e30…676cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,532$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…6922backed Yes | 10c | 1,446$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…97bdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,439$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Yes | 15c | 1,361$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2538…b975backed Yes | 13c | 1,322$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…34fdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,297$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,267$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…b881backed Yes | 14c | 1,266$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…2454backed Yes | 11c | 1,258$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 12c | 1,253$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…d88dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,244$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…b422backed Yes | 8c | 1,218$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0d…4323backed Yes | 14c | 1,209$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…e345backed Yes | 14c | 1,206$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…dcfebacked Yes | 14c | 1,205$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,200$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.89 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…aa35backed Yes | 8c | 1,190$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…979cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,187$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.