TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,007,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,465,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,007,413 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd458…b521backed Yes0c212,355$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.791136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8590…f9c6backed Yes0c60,640$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.01166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Yes0c48,207$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3618931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf178…c931backed Yes0c47,757$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c42,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c35,347$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.171717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-48%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd675…153dbacked Yes0c33,629$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c25,299$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2726136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fe…7061backed Yes0c20,943$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.89140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0369…76c7backed Yes0c19,148$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.161145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes0c17,650$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8247845.8%219 W · 259 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes0c15,740$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2834032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8672…c3e1backed Yes0c15,268$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.34210%0 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes0c15,155$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff0b…3b13backed Yes0c14,631$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2270…32ecbacked Yes0c14,631$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4cc…b3eebacked Yes0c14,631$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…d6ddbacked Yes0c14,631$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c13,728$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a2…169bbacked Yes0c12,914$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcef…1896backed Yes0c12,148$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91bc…1fbabacked Yes0c12,148$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3dd…d5fcbacked Yes0c12,148$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes0c12,123$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.35270%0 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes0c11,335$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c31…b166backed Yes0c10,220$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221a…5ff0backed Yes0c10,220$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e5…fc52backed Yes0c10,210$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc800…526dbacked Yes0c10,200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48a6…412bbacked Yes0c10,190$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3441…3283backed Yes0c9,900$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa949…e7bebacked Yes0c9,617$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8175…b96cbacked Yes0c9,399$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf975…5c51backed Yes0c9,399$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes0c9,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x188a…de60backed Yes0c8,887$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.411752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ed…93aabacked Yes0c8,563$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…8792backed Yes0c7,713$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa179…45c8backed Yes0c7,571$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c7,481$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.963116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…2202backed Yes0c7,441$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba8…4defbacked Yes0c7,190$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5458…0b85backed Yes0c7,103$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59e6…a806backed Yes0c7,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe69f…c617backed Yes0c6,918$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba52…fae1backed Yes0c6,916$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb447…62ebbacked Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+89.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x702f…1d50backed Yes1c6,606$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c6,587$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.76310%0 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…05e8backed Yes0c6,487$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes0c6,118$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes0c6,072$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.19240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b7…17ccbacked Yes0c6,068$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Yes0c6,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0624…744cbacked Yes0c6,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick5cpaid-55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6188…3373backed Yes0c5,918$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ff…09d5backed Yes1c5,750$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac8c…9f1fbacked Yes1c5,750$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.75333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb236…ca07backed Yes0c5,611$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4d…e6d2backed Yes0c5,248$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c5…1127backed Yes0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa93…afc1backed Yes1c5,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dfa…b205backed Yes0c4,986$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.37100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes0c4,950$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.733520%7 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6402…a05bbacked Yes0c4,900$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes0c4,735$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.243944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a62…8b90backed Yes0c4,680$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb654…602bbacked Yes0c4,600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x886a…0944backed Yes0c4,500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-76.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f9…adb9backed Yes0c4,500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe11…990bbacked Yes0c4,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes0c3,762$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf891…35b3backed Yes0c3,720$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1660%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes0c3,553$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.77254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes0c3,290$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.960042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a7…7651backed Yes0c3,172$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+118.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cc…5987backed Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30200%0 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…1dc9backed Yes0c2,977$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe06e…012dbacked Yes1c2,903$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a0…bf2cbacked Yes1c2,847$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes0c2,654$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…79f7backed Yes1c2,518$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51160%0 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee02…0a21backed Yes0c2,510$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb673…8e9bbacked Yes1c1,545$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.