NHL · resolved market
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e54856d758cd7de25b75c97273a38d711642f16eacad57e61982028f2791206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,044,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,823,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,044,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 114,570$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.07 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 3c | 62,932$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 2c | 50,560$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.84 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 3c | 49,736$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.66 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 3c | 40,954$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.23 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…89eabacked Yes | 3c | 31,735$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes | 3c | 30,263$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.55 | 478 | 45.8%219 W · 259 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 1c | 21,073$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.95 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe606…081dbacked Yes | 3c | 18,787$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 16,190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Yes | 3c | 15,752$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 15,352$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.91 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 2c | 14,300$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.31 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 3c | 12,925$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.7 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 3c | 12,070$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.81 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 2c | 11,062$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.84 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 2c | 10,781$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.27 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…42b3backed Yes | 2c | 10,780$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…1541backed Yes | 2c | 10,780$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…58a0backed Yes | 1c | 10,765$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a5…22febacked Yes | 1c | 10,765$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes | 2c | 10,590$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 3c | 9,448$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.13 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…adf5backed Yes | 2c | 9,285$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -88%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 3c | 9,076$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.18 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…65fabacked Yes | 2c | 8,954$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 8,749$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 1c | 7,986$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 0c | 7,957$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 3c | 7,300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 2c | 7,250$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccf…fea1backed Yes | 1c | 7,167$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,235$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651e…6ab7backed Yes | 1c | 6,070$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…36a9backed Yes | 1c | 5,957$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,169$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Yes | 2c | 4,951$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…09c7backed Yes | 1c | 4,932$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 2c | 4,885$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Yes | 5c | 4,747$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…3ba8backed Yes | 1c | 4,498$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…7a41backed Yes | 1c | 3,666$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…94f7backed Yes | 2c | 3,500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…9b07backed Yes | 4c | 3,376$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,226$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Yes | 3c | 2,977$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 2,975$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…b8c3backed Yes | 3c | 2,693$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Yes | 1c | 2,688$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,552$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes | 1c | 2,483$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 2,382$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8672…c3e1backed Yes | 2c | 2,361$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 3c | 2,258$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e5…f9bebacked Yes | 1c | 2,143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…1c6fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4a…bfc7backed Yes | 2c | 1,998$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 3c | 1,910$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 3c | 1,812$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c13…8997backed Yes | 2c | 1,778$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…8a00backed Yes | 1c | 1,747$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 1c | 1,673$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…c677backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 3c | 1,555$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…c691backed Yes | 3c | 1,533$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,531$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…9f08backed Yes | 3c | 1,502$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…94d7backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 1,452$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9190…294dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…cb2cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19e…adbfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,400$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…5d33backed Yes | 3c | 1,361$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 2c | 1,360$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Yes | 1c | 1,354$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,327$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…a4f8backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 3c | 1,227$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 1,181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…06e5backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Yes | 3c | 1,091$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…f9c6backed Yes | 2c | 1,075$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd03…af6bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,025$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0af…8c47backed Yes | 3c | 1,020$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,018$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…c10cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,015$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…4c43backed Yes | 3c | 1,015$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbe…bbdabacked Yes | 3c | 1,010$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e3d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Yes | 4c | 999.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ca…6e50backed Yes | 1c | 999.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 2c | 993.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 2c | 987.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…2367backed Yes | 2c | 976.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 952.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 930.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.