TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,266,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,259,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,266,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd675…153dbacked Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c150,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes2c71,056$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.3926136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes0c52,075$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes3c39,353$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.64254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes1c17,365$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.35270%0 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes2c15,419$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.12185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c14,459$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.6243944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc55f…2d80backed Yes3c10,800$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Yes1c9,409$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0318931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Yes3c9,191$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.461748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…79f7backed Yes0c9,069$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.14160%0 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes1c8,180$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.84949%24 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c7,569$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.731,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes1c7,410$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1634032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes2c7,095$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes2c6,460$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8838040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8672…c3e1backed Yes1c6,250$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42210%0 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c6,135$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.49240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Yes2c5,769$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3321534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c5,188$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3622516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0218…52c0backed Yes2c5,136$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c5…90babacked Yes1c5,000$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7350%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes1c4,950$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.25130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes2c4,944$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.451910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes1c4,443$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.641,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…b496backed Yes3c4,244$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes0c4,150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…7a31backed Yes1c4,000$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.661323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d4…fabdbacked Yes2c3,261$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes1c3,166$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.153520%7 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes3c3,000$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1945447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffaf…b675backed Yes2c2,815$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.584540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83fe…6b61backed Yes1c2,787$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.96100%0 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes1c2,620$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.22611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0de…c0b9backed Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c2,489$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.43228.1%9 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes2c2,379$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.722814.3%4 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+129.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0b…4857backed Yes1c2,287$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4321846.8%102 W · 116 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes2c2,252$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0860%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddbe…a4f8backed Yes1c2,250$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes2c2,245$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.966414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52e2…e255backed Yes1c2,147$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes1c2,111$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…a557backed Yes3c2,040$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2849…3d61backed Yes1c2,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2330…cb2cbacked Yes1c1,950$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66f9…adb9backed Yes1c1,832$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…1dc9backed Yes1c1,826$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe509…7387backed Yes1c1,825$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes1c1,785$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9265345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes1c1,742$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46fa…9a8cbacked Yes1c1,742$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.03100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes1c1,731$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8860042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Yes1c1,679$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.123438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x293b…5d33backed Yes2c1,662$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.88140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bfe…c677backed Yes1c1,650$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5580%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes1c1,631$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-86.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1b…9e26backed Yes1c1,568$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1180%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5d…6c8cbacked Yes1c1,533$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8880%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes2c1,520$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.886811.8%8 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecf9…94d7backed Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ad…e353backed Yes1c1,420$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.461833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6225…5eb6backed Yes1c1,394$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5980%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07bd…b49fbacked Yes1c1,394$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0770%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3419…58f3backed Yes1c1,350$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4560%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes2c1,271$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1380%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa909…6badbacked Yes1c1,219$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9890%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes3c1,216$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8440%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes1c1,210$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.863735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick23cpaid-13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes2c1,209$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc15e…ab86backed Yes1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8570%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9190…294dbacked Yes1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5554…b12dbacked Yes3c1,168$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.76100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b0…cf23backed Yes2c1,159$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes2c1,127$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.76200%0 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes2c1,083$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90dd…14e3backed Yes1c1,050$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes3c999.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2627445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes3c950.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8280%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes2c931.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1554132.7%177 W · 364 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a96…c691backed Yes1c907.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde91…9803backed Yes1c853.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Yes2c831.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.313560%21 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cc…5987backed Yes2c800.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20200%0 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes1c797.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe407…1df9backed Yes1c753.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes2c749.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes3c656.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.78130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb9…ca1bbacked Yes3c655$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f17…88eabacked Yes2c625$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8f…2770backed Yes2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed Yes2c530.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.93616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid-29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe19e…adbfbacked Yes2c499.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid-10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe946…0459backed Yes4c488.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes3c440.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-32.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.