NHL · resolved market
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44887f53abbfe7531b1384420b185a5f10ee42a4e6c9441d5883abd4f3c1e5ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,627,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,431,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,627,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 61,664$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.31 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 7c | 43,403$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.83 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 6c | 42,188$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.4 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 5c | 32,693$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.5 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Yes | 8c | 29,356$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.03 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 6c | 29,308$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.37 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 7c | 26,630$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.03 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…1b07backed Yes | 4c | 24,000$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes | 2c | 23,495$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.01 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 7c | 21,194$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.03 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 6c | 20,637$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.57 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 19,896$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.18 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…b675backed Yes | 4c | 19,896$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.48 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 6c | 18,117$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 6c | 16,478$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.24 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 2c | 14,869$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.46 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 4c | 14,140$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.86 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 5c | 12,277$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.74 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yes | 7c | 10,703$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.94 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…318bbacked Yes | 11c | 10,143$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes | 6c | 8,934$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.34 | 478 | 45.8%219 W · 259 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 8c | 7,133$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.26 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes | 5c | 7,046$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.29 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes | 5c | 7,006$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 6,828$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.05 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 7c | 6,798$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 6,775$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Yes | 7c | 6,736$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.71 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…9673backed Yes | 6c | 6,113$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6275…7abebacked Yes | 8c | 6,000$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1825…c651backed Yes | 5c | 5,924$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 7c | 5,797$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.4 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 5,668$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.69 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 6c | 5,500$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.57 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 8c | 5,378$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…b422backed Yes | 7c | 5,305$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 6c | 5,089$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 2c | 5,034$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Yes | 6c | 4,940$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 8c | 4,890$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.79 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 5c | 4,858$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.11 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…cc58backed Yes | 7c | 4,778$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…042cbacked Yes | 8c | 4,750$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 4,701$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.68 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8672…c3e1backed Yes | 6c | 4,369$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.96 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 9c | 4,309$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.16 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 5c | 3,757$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…7190backed Yes | 11c | 3,707$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…4053backed Yes | 4c | 3,700$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fc…47c8backed Yes | 7c | 3,650$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…3ba8backed Yes | 1c | 3,644$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…e2d5backed Yes | 9c | 3,482$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,366$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,295$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.42 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Yes | 6c | 3,232$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.39 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…64b7backed Yes | 8c | 3,147$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 8c | 3,034$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.37 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 6c | 2,732$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 6c | 2,654$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Yes | 5c | 2,627$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3567…9d55backed Yes | 9c | 2,623$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes | 2c | 2,616$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,589$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf427…ecb4backed Yes | 8c | 2,534$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,451$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes | 6c | 2,373$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…9bc6backed Yes | 5c | 2,207$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…8400backed Yes | 5c | 2,167$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…462fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,157$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.31 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 3c | 2,113$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x045a…26b5backed Yes | 6c | 2,055$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…5bb4backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,968$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.04 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 5c | 1,947$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Yes | 6c | 1,923$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,900$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…dc73backed Yes | 5c | 1,836$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Yes | 7c | 1,814$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 231 | 48.9%113 W · 118 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…ee49backed Yes | 9c | 1,736$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…df5abacked Yes | 6c | 1,726$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d62…df5cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,702$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…a557backed Yes | 5c | 1,670$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…7c57backed Yes | 5c | 1,664$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…c627backed Yes | 9c | 1,652$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 4c | 1,640$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c34…3567backed Yes | 9c | 1,635$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 6c | 1,600$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…f1bbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,555$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff8…3f59backed Yes | 9c | 1,550$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Yes | 6c | 1,510$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,505$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 481 | 57.2%275 W · 206 L | +21.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa82…e97dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,496$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…e45bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,492$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27d…50d5backed Yes | 9c | 1,481$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…5d33backed Yes | 5c | 1,466$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…4a8ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,455$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…53afbacked Yes | 9c | 1,432$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 8c | 1,431$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 6c | 1,430$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.