TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,406,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,329,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,406,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes0c130,881$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.014027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c97,089$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.8526136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes3c55,043$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.16254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes1c47,287$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.331910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c43,204$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.31240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ec…2e20backed Yes2c35,638$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x651b…3df3backed Yes2c30,410$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes1c29,629$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.79270%0 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c76…e9adbacked Yes2c26,815$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993a…7a3fbacked Yes3c26,399$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb085…0326backed Yes3c26,141$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes2c25,924$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.771,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8db…4e87backed Yes3c22,140$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes0c21,315$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8267…2716backed Yes2c21,268$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes1c21,000$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14127445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c20,731$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.343944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b86…93fcbacked Yes2c20,391$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes1c20,241$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8634032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7c…d652backed Yes2c19,257$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab78…fac0backed Yes2c18,503$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.564546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x888a…41fdbacked Yes3c18,496$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2360…22b5backed Yes3c18,375$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x106e…aa20backed Yes2c18,316$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe07…35c6backed Yes2c18,117$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79f0…efd2backed Yes2c18,086$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd85e…c78bbacked Yes2c18,058$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4528…b595backed Yes2c18,004$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4af0…e9cbbacked Yes2c17,979$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes1c17,892$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.311,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38d…4f03backed Yes3c17,764$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6655…6d4bbacked Yes3c17,572$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a9…004fbacked Yes3c17,397$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f7…f7a2backed Yes2c17,352$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…e06cbacked Yes3c17,336$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b17…60c7backed Yes3c17,256$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b2…e137backed Yes2c17,061$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe226…5be2backed Yes3c16,936$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6f…7d8bbacked Yes3c16,898$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd113…69c9backed Yes2c16,883$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc412…75a7backed Yes3c16,736$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb7…5c9dbacked Yes3c16,551$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a6…a69fbacked Yes2c16,544$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f3…6e92backed Yes3c16,492$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7bf…e46dbacked Yes2c16,407$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9b…049dbacked Yes3c16,343$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4500…7161backed Yes3c16,271$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0898…027cbacked Yes2c16,086$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e0…d98dbacked Yes2c16,058$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes0c15,863$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-84.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82d…4ab8backed Yes3c15,715$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-57.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5030…cb0bbacked Yes3c15,575$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb33…901abacked Yes3c14,892$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfac7…fcd9backed Yes3c14,058$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf6…f503backed Yes2c13,513$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d9…6e1abacked Yes2c13,250$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d5…ce10backed Yes2c13,243$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8a…1faabacked Yes2c13,092$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-57.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd5…c775backed Yes2c13,063$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a8…4eb3backed Yes2c12,868$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4586…23cfbacked Yes2c12,820$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.04425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-68.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe80a…e65cbacked Yes2c12,645$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b2c…872cbacked Yes2c12,483$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-57.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c13…a6dbbacked Yes2c12,431$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0f…c614backed Yes2c12,291$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2ec…3f53backed Yes2c12,054$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf138…cd54backed Yes3c11,707$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fe…0accbacked Yes3c11,403$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31c…b3e7backed Yes2c11,006$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd572…22efbacked Yes2c10,209$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes1c10,068$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0165345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e3…a04ebacked Yes2c9,687$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef91…e532backed Yes2c9,677$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d9…ac20backed Yes2c9,677$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…79f7backed Yes1c9,579$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9160%0 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86c…1eb2backed Yes3c9,553$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f69…116cbacked Yes3c9,494$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac25…a2e0backed Yes2c9,440$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4398…775bbacked Yes3c9,437$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9580…e5f6backed Yes3c9,362$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8787…991abacked Yes3c9,340$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe200…f0aabacked Yes3c9,340$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabc2…5e2ebacked Yes2c9,311$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes1c9,226$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.216414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd392…4343backed Yes2c9,150$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf6…4621backed Yes3c9,139$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82b…dfa0backed Yes2c9,064$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd8f…e3bdbacked Yes2c9,064$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x759d…97a7backed Yes2c9,051$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…9a61backed Yes2c9,043$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2806…b658backed Yes2c9,043$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1211…928ebacked Yes2c9,043$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dfb…b834backed Yes4c9,037$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a6…d844backed Yes3c9,033$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bd…5088backed Yes2c9,015$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes1c9,007$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.391315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3a…2934backed Yes3c9,001$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc488…83d2backed Yes3c9,001$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3edd…e744backed Yes2c8,994$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad0…d506backed Yes2c8,980$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.