TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,095,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,613,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,095,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes5c112,529$5,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,377.331729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes7c100,796$7,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,364.4714650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes5c60,366$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.941643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes3c50,814$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.8712950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes3c48,299$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.1426136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes6c44,760$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.04240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675a…aacabacked Yes4c31,050$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Yes7c29,378$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.8150049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes7c28,388$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.318056.3%45 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes6c28,212$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.1931744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes5c27,263$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.472711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Yes7c25,000$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8703246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes5c22,427$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes6c21,988$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.829431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes6c21,400$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.5127445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes0c20,513$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.542611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Yes5c20,007$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.391942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…05e9backed Yes6c18,189$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.972147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Yes2c17,763$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.321534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Yes2c15,321$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9718931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5007…eddabacked Yes4c14,483$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Yes1c14,429$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1333652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes7c14,266$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.2562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes6c14,202$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.226547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7187…f08bbacked Yes6c14,140$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.451513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c14,093$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.1443944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde37…b2cdbacked Yes6c13,329$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes5c13,192$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.316414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes5c12,269$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.2411141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes6c11,683$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66515236.2%55 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa652…679fbacked Yes2c10,785$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec1…f7fcbacked Yes1c10,785$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes5c10,770$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.66128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-77.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes2c10,594$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes3c10,558$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.947845.8%219 W · 259 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes26c10,156$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.0428749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c10,144$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1722516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes1c10,108$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8234032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…7a31backed Yes1c10,075$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.711323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Yes5c10,015$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.4328745.3%130 W · 157 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes5c10,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52033837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes6c9,447$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.473050%15 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba94…2d87backed Yes6c9,252$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes4c9,034$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.011540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes5c8,938$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.494027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8590…f9c6backed Yes3c8,480$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.87166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8b9…ca55backed Yes7c8,108$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Yes8c8,000$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60813446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Yes7c7,466$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.761625%4 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes6c7,420$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.82911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-51.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234e…240bbacked Yes7c7,166$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes6c6,917$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.131,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes7c6,714$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.455137.3%19 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ca7…0a12backed Yes8c6,358$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.71346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes6c6,140$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.989249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f8…8e4bbacked Yes6c6,042$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34de…bd88backed Yes5c6,014$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7204…9d31backed Yes5c6,013$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.533330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c5,921$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69de…7aa2backed Yes6c5,897$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Yes5c5,734$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.365149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x645b…49a4backed Yes9c5,650$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4931…7c3fbacked Yes1c5,549$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.185352.8%28 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Yes7c5,452$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.862040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes6c5,412$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.571315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0094…c496backed Yes8c5,318$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39911447.4%54 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x794d…d06dbacked Yes2c5,110$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb42a…cef0backed Yes2c5,110$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b7…500fbacked Yes7c5,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402552%13 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Yes7c4,986$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.344037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0da…3ff6backed Yes7c4,579$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e36…2644backed Yes6c4,470$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes6c4,454$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.173735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick23cpaid-13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5846…e314backed Yes7c4,339$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes8c4,314$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.1924837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c7…bf54backed Yes5c4,295$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc1…d269backed Yes6c4,198$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee04…0e21backed Yes7c4,173$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes2c4,151$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5538040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x694f…da6ebacked Yes5c4,136$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes4c4,102$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.611421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-63.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes6c4,050$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.551216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c2…0114backed Yes6c4,043$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e5…8c1dbacked Yes6c4,036$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6298…8c22backed Yes6c4,008$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17dc…aff8backed Yes3c3,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeff2…727dbacked Yes6c3,995$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa385…c8adbacked Yes7c3,992$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc841…a58bbacked Yes7c3,973$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes2c3,970$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.755141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3c…2f42backed Yes6c3,919$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes5c3,900$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8519836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Yes8c3,887$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5186…4f97backed Yes6c3,857$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes2c3,838$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.510336.9%38 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes8c3,713$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806126.2%16 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1260…d4ffbacked Yes6c3,701$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes0c3,610$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3460042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Yes6c3,600$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-49.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes2c3,465$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.91,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.