NHL · resolved market
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbefea6668e49e328db4d5c792bc15cea309bbc06101dfd6ced1e0556ad3ea301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,095,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,613,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,095,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 5c | 112,529$5,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes | 7c | 100,796$7,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,364.47 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 5c | 60,366$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 3c | 50,814$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.87 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 48,299$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.14 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 6c | 44,760$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.04 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…aacabacked Yes | 4c | 31,050$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Yes | 7c | 29,378$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.81 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 7c | 28,388$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.31 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 6c | 28,212$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.19 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 5c | 27,263$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.47 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Yes | 7c | 25,000$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Yes | 5c | 22,427$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 6c | 21,988$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.82 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 6c | 21,400$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.51 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 0c | 20,513$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Yes | 5c | 20,007$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Yes | 6c | 18,189$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Yes | 2c | 17,763$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.3 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 2c | 15,321$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.97 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…eddabacked Yes | 4c | 14,483$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 1c | 14,429$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.13 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 7c | 14,266$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.25 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 6c | 14,202$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.2 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 6c | 14,140$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.45 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 14,093$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.14 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…b2cdbacked Yes | 6c | 13,329$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 5c | 13,192$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.31 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 5c | 12,269$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.24 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 6c | 11,683$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…679fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,785$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…f7fcbacked Yes | 1c | 10,785$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 10,770$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.66 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 2c | 10,594$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes | 3c | 10,558$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.9 | 478 | 45.8%219 W · 259 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 10,156$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.04 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 10,144$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,108$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…7a31backed Yes | 1c | 10,075$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Yes | 5c | 10,015$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.43 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 6c | 9,447$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.47 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…2d87backed Yes | 6c | 9,252$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes | 4c | 9,034$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 5c | 8,938$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.49 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…f9c6backed Yes | 3c | 8,480$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.87 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…ca55backed Yes | 7c | 8,108$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Yes | 8c | 8,000$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Yes | 7c | 7,466$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 6c | 7,420$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked Yes | 7c | 7,166$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 6c | 6,917$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.13 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 7c | 6,714$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.45 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca7…0a12backed Yes | 8c | 6,358$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 6c | 6,140$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.9 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f8…8e4bbacked Yes | 6c | 6,042$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…bd88backed Yes | 5c | 6,014$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7204…9d31backed Yes | 5c | 6,013$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.53 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 0c | 5,921$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69de…7aa2backed Yes | 6c | 5,897$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Yes | 5c | 5,734$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.36 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645b…49a4backed Yes | 9c | 5,650$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…7c3fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,549$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Yes | 7c | 5,452$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes | 6c | 5,412$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.57 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…c496backed Yes | 8c | 5,318$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…d06dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,110$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…cef0backed Yes | 2c | 5,110$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Yes | 7c | 4,986$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.34 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…3ff6backed Yes | 7c | 4,579$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e36…2644backed Yes | 6c | 4,470$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,454$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.17 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…e314backed Yes | 7c | 4,339$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 8c | 4,314$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.19 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c7…bf54backed Yes | 5c | 4,295$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc1…d269backed Yes | 6c | 4,198$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…0e21backed Yes | 7c | 4,173$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,151$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694f…da6ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,136$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 4c | 4,102$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.61 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 6c | 4,050$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…0114backed Yes | 6c | 4,043$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…8c1dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,036$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…8c22backed Yes | 6c | 4,008$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17dc…aff8backed Yes | 3c | 3,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…727dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,995$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa385…c8adbacked Yes | 7c | 3,992$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc841…a58bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,973$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 2c | 3,970$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…2f42backed Yes | 6c | 3,919$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 5c | 3,900$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Yes | 8c | 3,887$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5186…4f97backed Yes | 6c | 3,857$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 2c | 3,838$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes | 8c | 3,713$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1260…d4ffbacked Yes | 6c | 3,701$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Yes | 0c | 3,610$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Yes | 6c | 3,600$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 2c | 3,465$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.