TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0da…3ff6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT17658%102 W · 74 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 176 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$240.48
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.51
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.67
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.83
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$124.23
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$46.3
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44%+$48.91
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$52.42
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$53.44
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.16
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+57%+$26.02
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.56
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$101.97
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.64
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.2
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$137.64
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$23.17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$50.96
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.14
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$42.12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.98
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.74
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$185.01
Showing 25 of 176 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$124.63
Will Team Heretics win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.38
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+208.6%+$27.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$263.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.6%+$25.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.