Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Kacper Szymkowiak vs Alexandr Binda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90139f01b6c4692c9ea9c26e840019cf4ecea155c653430d43910cdc9b86a6cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexandr Bindaof Kacper Szymkowiak, Alexandr Binda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kacper Szymkowiak | 43c | 906.59$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.83 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alexandr Binda | 57c | 705.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.97 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kacper Szymkowiak | 38c | 655.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.07 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Alexandr Binda | 60c | 499.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.9 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Kacper Szymkowiak | 40c | 427$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alexandr Binda | 56c | 422.3$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.2 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Alexandr Binda | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Kacper Szymkowiak | 10c | 347.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alexandr Binda | 75c | 213$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kacper Szymkowiak | 51c | 194.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Alexandr Binda | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Alexandr Binda | 56c | 177$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexandr Binda | 54c | 167.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Alexandr Binda | 79c | 140$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kacper Szymkowiak | 46c | 139.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Alexandr Binda | 53c | 138.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Kacper Szymkowiak | 47c | 137.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Kacper Szymkowiak | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…8956backed Alexandr Binda | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kacper Szymkowiak | 21c | 84.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kacper Szymkowiak | 34c | 64.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kacper Szymkowiak | 39c | 62.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Kacper Szymkowiak | 46c | 60.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Kacper Szymkowiak | 50c | 56.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Kacper Szymkowiak | 23c | 50.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Kacper Szymkowiak | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kacper Szymkowiak | 45c | 46.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alexandr Binda | 52c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Kacper Szymkowiak | 45c | 40.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Alexandr Binda | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…8c97backed Alexandr Binda | 55c | 36.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Alexandr Binda | 68c | 36.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Alexandr Binda | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alexandr Binda | 55c | 32.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…3ff6backed Alexandr Binda | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Alexandr Binda | 71c | 21.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Alexandr Binda | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.