South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d48f8fa3bc7691902d3faf3ca3af18fc3e01d73701a27be0262f71be0b5bac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 26c | 44,998$11,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,693.21 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 74c | 20,321$15,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,207.41 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 74c | 11,295$8,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.81 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 74c | 3,974$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.28 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 2,941$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.79 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,565$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 2,290$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 1,064$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 80c | 1,057$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaee…9c5fbacked Yes | 26c | 989.88$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 26c | 897.5$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.86 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 872.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked No | 77c | 642.86$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 633.35$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 21c | 526.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 73c | 479.44$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Yes | 27c | 446.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 74c | 400.05$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 79c | 375$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…3ff6backed Yes | 26c | 375$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 24c | 365$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 76c | 349.9$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 311.82$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 74c | 299.97$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 23c | 292.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 74c | 286.3$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 217.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 74c | 215.38$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 74c | 197.6$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…6b48backed Yes | 25c | 165.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 135.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 122$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc4…6b81backed Yes | 16c | 119$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 75c | 118.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed No | 74c | 105.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 74c | 103.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 102.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 13c | 85.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 74c | 82.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…b2ecbacked Yes | 29c | 76.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 22c | 66.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 74c | 56.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 21c | 51.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 75c | 46.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked No | 77c | 44.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed No | 75c | 38.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 74c | 38.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked No | 77c | 31.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 77c | 26.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 77c | 22.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 74c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a2…7460backed No | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…6511backed No | 74c | 20.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed No | 74c | 17.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…ae63backed No | 74c | 17.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 78c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 77c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…2feabacked No | 78c | 12.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will CA Mineiro vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.