South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x283c7565f47c8db1eb57c14b85030edd649668363c62b8a2fc078b6c4bca4c74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 3,305$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.42 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 72c | 1,760$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.79 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 1,265$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed No | 73c | 1,103$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.69 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 839.4$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.7 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 27c | 804.29$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.16 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 675$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 587.88$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.61 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 15c | 578.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 24c | 532$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 75c | 430.22$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 422.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 28c | 256.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 240.87$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 72c | 220.19$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 77c | 192.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 148.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b335backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7296…69f5backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 70c | 83.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 81.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 74.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 34c | 72.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 69.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 67.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 72c | 66.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 19c | 62.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 29c | 55.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 50.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…6b48backed Yes | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 39.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 60c | 32.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.