Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x169edb9300f8d20bd3ee221957b9459ff2cb832fb351dfdb05e5b044de6fd8da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 39c | 1,319$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.88 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 73c | 991.95$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 22c | 591.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 35c | 270.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 62c | 238.71$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 35c | 206.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 65c | 186.77$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 42c | 165.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 38c | 146.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…8b5ebacked Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 60c | 133.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 214 | 72%154 W · 60 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…5605backed Yes | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 21c | 124.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 283 | 44.5%126 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 32c | 119.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 58c | 118.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 59c | 117.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…ef20backed No | 67c | 115.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 257 | 84.4%217 W · 40 L | +30.3wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…6009backed No | 69c | 109.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 29c | 104.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…3ff6backed No | 51c | 104$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 61c | 94.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Yes | 24c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 257 | 58%149 W · 108 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 42c | 81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 74c | 69.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 58c | 68.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 55c | 68.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked Yes | 29c | 64.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 64c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…f41fbacked Yes | 20c | 62.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e00…5a84backed No | 65c | 60.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 64c | 58.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 29c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ba1bbacked No | 73c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 190 | 71.6%136 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 56c | 52.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 27c | 52.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 60c | 52.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 74c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…2b25backed No | 75c | 50.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 329 | 58.7%193 W · 136 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 162 | 20.4%33 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…0bb7backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…caffbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…95bebacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 87 | 17.2%15 W · 72 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 35c | 49.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 29c | 48.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed No | 63c | 47.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…001ebacked Yes | 34c | 46.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 35c | 45.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 45.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 52c | 41.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 77c | 38.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 38.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 67c | 37.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 62c | 36.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 56c | 33.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…bc49backed No | 80c | 32.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 33c | 32.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 56c | 30.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 46c | 29.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…c3ddbacked No | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 49c | 28.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 73c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 76c | 27.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 27.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 26.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -34.5wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 71c | 23.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6199…ece4backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…2721backed No | 71c | 21.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 401 | 62.6%251 W · 150 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb884…19c1backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…9335backed No | 58c | 18.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 57c | 18.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…256cbacked No | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 64c | 17.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f9…2ce9backed No | 67c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 80c | 15.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…2ee6backed No | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 335 | 50.4%169 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…a08bbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 100-101°F on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 102-103°F on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.