Fifa International · resolved market
Will Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7ffdec45fb307c1355cae1c1397c2e249cf733daa471872a579a1a75b25fcd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed No | 10c | 1,640$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fb…4cb5backed No | 36c | 1,344$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 65c | 1,315$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 572.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 563$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 10c | 555$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 71c | 510.48$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 20c | 508$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab39…c22fbacked No | 31c | 487.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 361$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 6c | 347$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Yes | 65c | 346.41$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 21c | 334$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 65c | 305$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…497abacked No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 6c | 241.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 26c | 236.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 4c | 235.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 7c | 221.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…cf05backed Yes | 64c | 221.16$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153f…7636backed Yes | 68c | 218.33$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 61c | 209.2$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 78c | 192.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 32c | 188.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked No | 36c | 188$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ff39backed Yes | 65c | 173.55$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 16c | 170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed Yes | 65c | 163.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3650…d17cbacked Yes | 65c | 146.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 32c | 146.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 33c | 138.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 64c | 130.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked No | 34c | 120.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…0165backed Yes | 65c | 117.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…e56fbacked Yes | 65c | 117.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 116$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…3ff6backed Yes | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 16c | 87.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…db94backed Yes | 71c | 72.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ab…e190backed No | 17c | 66.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 24c | 62.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…83a7backed Yes | 65c | 60.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x697d…f299backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d76…044ebacked Yes | 65c | 57.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 75c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 21c | 51.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed No | 35c | 50.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…55d6backed Yes | 65c | 27.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…1828backed Yes | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…136dbacked Yes | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ee…1b59backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -15.0wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 64c | 19.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd66…132cbacked Yes | 68c | 17.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?this page
- Will Tunisia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.