South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4738ab806732edf09b6ab0440204675c6dcc2c3aa42ee83415ae838c2304f90e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 21c | 3,546$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.51 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 2,159$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.45 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked No | 25c | 2,106$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 75c | 1,410$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.27 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 42c | 1,321$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.64 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 60c | 1,294$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.65 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,120$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.67 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 27c | 727.51$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.41 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 627.95$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.62 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 39c | 570.08$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 59c | 550.12$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.55 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 61c | 532.79$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 50c | 510$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 36c | 508.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.23 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed No | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 32c | 383.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 41c | 378.17$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.05 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 23c | 346.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed No | 37c | 323.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 44c | 316.68$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.34 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 40c | 311.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 60c | 302.76$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes | 58c | 302.37$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 66c | 231.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 59c | 230.29$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 174.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…eb10backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 63c | 149$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 133.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 40c | 124.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Yes | 64c | 119.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 23c | 110.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 58c | 100.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 99.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 64c | 79.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 64c | 76.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 19c | 73.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 46c | 71.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 64c | 68.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 64c | 68.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 67c | 66.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 38c | 58.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 39c | 55.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…3ff6backed Yes | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Yes | 56c | 40.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 39c | 40.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 47c | 40.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…bf99backed No | 40c | 39.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 40c | 39.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…004abacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 35.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 45c | 33.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…ae0dbacked Yes | 64c | 31.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked No | 39c | 31.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 40c | 31.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…adcdbacked No | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 62c | 21.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 61c | 21.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…fe33backed Yes | 61c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 62c | 18.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 73c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-27?this page
- Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-27?No won
- Will Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.