TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,675 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x503c…4574backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes45c9,085$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,035.649747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No34c5,849$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed No29c4,182$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes50c2,781$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.27825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Yes43c2,653$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes31c2,363$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62120819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b7…f103backed No45c1,813$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.511533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No45c1,330$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.832544%11 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa0d…9ad2backed Yes7c1,322$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,248.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes16c1,249$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.556446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe306…d100backed No72c1,216$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.022138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Yes27c1,086$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.596142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes72c931.65$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9718841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes14c699.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.994845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes32c682.5$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.2210234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No76c600.45$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.4442862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed Yes24c595.68$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.831931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x486f…3ddfbacked No5c580$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed No72c528.84$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.669652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c3…3a41backed Yes25c510.27$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c491.71$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.9954340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes35c473.75$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.031258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x298b…8a90backed Yes30c424.62$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.45922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes5c415.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.52358.6%3 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed No43c412.23$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0310459.6%62 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df1…72e7backed Yes8c400$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+127.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d56…046fbacked Yes50c399.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.61250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5175…1546backed No52c399.97$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed No63c396.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe007…0767backed Yes16c377.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.041947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes14c368$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.042227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23b…c1e5backed No35c365.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No63c337.19$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8615233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes23c307.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.04933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0884…7c46backed Yes16c303.8$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+526%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13212450.8%63 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13212744.1%56 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0da…3ff6backed Yes11c296$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed No66c285.85$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-74.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3568…1705backed Yes24c282.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+309.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Yes25c276.07$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.792646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes13c275.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.941250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x645a…fd84backed No69c269.38$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff3…2eeebacked Yes34c269.12$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.122832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe36b…66a1backed No55c251.24$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Yes4c246.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.731788.2%15 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+168.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes10c238.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.54119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed No29c212.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb538…906fbacked No50c201.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf5…53c9backed No78c200.03$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.361833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d6…d1d1backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x832b…5c91backed No74c199.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.992520%5 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked No70c199.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.996454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe721…fb36backed No62c166.49$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No76c165.43$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.141984.2%16 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79b9…15a4backed Yes64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…f2f5backed Yes63c159.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1026…6c61backed Yes47c137.24$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb574…4872backed No44c136.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed No79c127.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006363.5%40 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b92…35a7backed Yes11c120$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+351.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes16c116.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.96850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c5…47a0backed No58c115.11$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5207…686bbacked No72c113.26$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.551546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No55c110$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607847.4%37 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked No59c102.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c5a…35aebacked No59c101.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb36…06c8backed Yes18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd296…084dbacked No80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab7…a5cfbacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7330%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7914342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f06…c2f1backed Yes43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae25…4baebacked No49c96.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a65…75cfbacked Yes69c94.62$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ed…310ebacked Yes27c93.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d9…2df8backed Yes59c92.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.921752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34c4…2249backed Yes24c83.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd2…f0e7backed Yes61c81.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No39c81.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0640821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x16be…008dbacked Yes25c79.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+296.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbafb…999dbacked Yes19c78.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+421.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No76c74.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b0…61dbbacked Yes30c71.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+234.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x042a…b153backed No38c65.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.833910.3%4 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-52.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db3…ae9cbacked No53c63.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes20c63.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.78911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No29c62.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+73.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x405b…755cbacked No69c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-52.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbd5…f920backed Yes55c58.77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e34…9434backed No44c57.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65d…bdb8backed Yes55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Yes46c54.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7839…c351backed Yes22c54.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+361.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes33c51.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.571346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6714…fad2backed No66c49.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes80c47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No53c46.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.911216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b03…2c21backed Yes49c46.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.