MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3d3e8fdccbfe2c879be8cee1e6899ee329d8bad95aed743bedfe9289cc5bca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Chicago Cubs, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 29,232$13,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,154.22 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 24,547$10,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,309.67 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 22,928$12,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,301.68 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…6762backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 17,556$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 16,337$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,985.05 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 15,904$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 15,801$10,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.59 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 15,501$8,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,975.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 13,399$8,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Chicago Cubs | 15c | 13,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 12,900$6,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,933.94 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 9,814$4,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,514.52 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 9,218$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.4 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 8,818$4,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.03 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Chicago Cubs | 0c | 5,981$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 5c | 5,964$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.31 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 5,800$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 5,723$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 5,296$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.43 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 4,155$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.97 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 3,925$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.8 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 3,640$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Cubs | 18c | 3,384$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.3 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 2,735$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.98 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Francisco Giants | 70c | 2,596$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.59 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 2,484$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51fdbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 2,475$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439c…8a28backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 1,508$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Chicago Cubs | 1c | 1,264$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,234$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.7 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 1,206$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.21 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,150$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.17 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Chicago Cubs | 4c | 1,125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 1,094$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.53 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 1,014$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.44 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Chicago Cubs | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 953.88$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.27 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 899.17$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.34 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 882.61$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 71c | 880.47$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.9 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 848.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.76 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 847.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.4 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 839.16$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 830.71$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…7900backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 801.14$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 695.65$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Chicago Cubs | 20c | 678.08$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 645$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.25 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 559.55$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.8 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 556$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 542.51$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.13 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 487.57$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.28 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 444.37$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.19 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 310$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 303.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 276.63$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 269.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 266.62$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 250.77$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.09 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 241.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 238.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 215.17$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 212.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 210.54$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 13c | 209$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 207.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 204.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 32c | 199.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Chicago Cubs | 31c | 197.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 5c | 191.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.