NBA · resolved market

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22e7b5e35423e76842dd3a5e1a21d13793811080d5e7b2896d0c001bd5e97d54

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,151,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,294,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,151,787 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 8,594 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	45c	925,361$417,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417,715.4	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes	51c	390,518$197,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197,623.96	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes	41c	347,772$142,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142,577.4	53	5.7%3 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	56c	340,227$191,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191,161.7	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No	53c	336,092$178,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157,751.68	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes	45c	324,181$146,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146,881.82	48	25%12 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	50c	282,123$140,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140,576.19	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Yes	55c	271,971$148,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148,964.48	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes	60c	255,554$152,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152,240.11	78	69.2%54 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	70cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Yes	38c	241,141$90,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90,964.04	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes	64c	216,245$137,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137,885.75	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes	39c	215,638$83,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83,419.12	313	47%147 W · 166 L	-14.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Yes	53c	190,804$101,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101,232.03	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes	39c	172,828$66,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66,784.88	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes	40c	157,863$63,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63,681.54	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	43c	153,637$66,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66,238.2	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	-10.6wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Yes	42c	151,277$62,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,853.48	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	54c	146,348$79,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79,361.97	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Yes	39c	145,592$56,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,094.96	147	38.1%56 W · 91 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes	41c	143,642$58,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,861.3	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Yes	37c	129,228$48,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,278.38	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Yes	42c	118,486$49,661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,661.25	147	27.9%41 W · 106 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42d…2e9abacked No	52c	111,455$57,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,993.9	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	34c	107,855$36,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,491.43	227	50.2%114 W · 113 L	+24.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes	39c	103,000$39,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,807.84	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes	42c	102,937$43,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,219.69	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes	36c	99,999$36,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,102.84	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes	50c	96,305$48,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,231.04	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	37c	94,715$34,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,734.18	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+65.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	38c	86,951$33,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,443.04	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes	41c	86,822$35,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,600.67	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No	36c	83,077$29,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,349.85	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No	44c	79,292$35,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,260.28	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes	59c	76,451$44,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,899.4	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No	52c	76,444$39,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,693.3	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda8b…f67fbacked Yes	36c	75,370$27,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,133.27	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x792f…328abacked Yes	54c	74,590$40,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,499.95	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	55cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Yes	37c	71,085$25,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,992.15	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	43c	70,458$30,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,049.42	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Yes	37c	70,000$26,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,199.88	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes	45c	69,905$31,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,414.45	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d9…e4eebacked Yes	48c	68,679$32,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,965.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes	38c	64,475$24,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,410.7	272	47.1%128 W · 144 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	44c	61,975$27,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,436.14	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes	56c	61,115$34,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,369.69	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes	50c	60,600$30,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,020.84	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes	36c	58,552$20,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,888.72	404	48.3%195 W · 209 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	43c	55,171$23,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,802.99	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7637…ffcdbacked Yes	15c	54,372$7,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,941.86	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes	49c	53,326$25,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,872.11	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes	52c	50,907$26,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,666.18	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes	44c	50,376$22,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,307.49	128	43.8%56 W · 72 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f5…3092backed Yes	49c	50,003$24,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,542	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes	47c	50,000$23,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,371.85	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes	48c	50,000$24,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,000	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked No	45c	50,000$22,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,599.75	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes	43c	49,999$21,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,600.41	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b02…4991backed Yes	49c	49,335$24,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,174.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	36c	49,150$17,822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,822.02	88	23.9%21 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes	37c	46,852$17,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,402.4	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.21per pick	34cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked No	58c	46,191$26,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,375.07	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes	50c	45,500$22,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,934.78	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-90.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	6c	44,350$2,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,702.38	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c84…4e36backed Yes	42c	42,321$17,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,774.66	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Yes	49c	42,316$20,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,734.63	54	63%34 W · 20 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked No	41c	41,583$16,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,637.05	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f9b…9a1abacked Yes	52c	40,000$20,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,800	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c4…8ce2backed Yes	18c	38,291$6,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,733.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8b…0f4fbacked Yes	39c	37,526$14,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,635.08	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa252…dbf4backed Yes	47c	36,385$17,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,177.11	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b88…4070backed Yes	58c	34,479$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x327a…99bfbacked Yes	59c	34,287$20,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,289.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…47cebacked Yes	52c	34,268$17,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,819.16	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes	35c	33,821$11,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,761.23	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	50c	33,667$16,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,873.59	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Yes	49c	33,499$16,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,387.9	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No	43c	33,132$14,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,767.22	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed No	62c	31,885$19,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,962.81	255	46.7%119 W · 136 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8df…e891backed Yes	62c	31,758$19,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,690.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Yes	33c	31,300$10,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,440.56	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Yes	42c	30,557$12,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,795.26	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes	37c	30,342$11,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,111.14	116	39.7%46 W · 70 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes	54c	29,963$16,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,221.07	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c4…978fbacked Yes	35c	29,826$10,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,582	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+112.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	59c	29,165$17,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,990.21	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Yes	44c	28,984$12,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,650.41	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.9wins	-0.21per pick	42cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4a1…daa5backed Yes	49c	28,581$14,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,145.65	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes	42c	28,081$11,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,794.13	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes	40c	28,055$11,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,293.2	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	46c	26,682$12,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,402.12	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes	48c	26,665$12,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,799.15	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-4.5wins	-0.15per pick	31cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes	57c	25,037$14,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,311.41	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No	55c	25,012$13,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,212.51	265	30.9%82 W · 183 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	45c	24,705$11,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,235.82	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked No	49c	24,500$12,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,495	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	34c	24,442$8,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,210.26	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes	62c	24,247$15,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,003.02	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x459d…c321backed Yes	63c	24,247$15,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,275.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes	49c	24,156$11,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,836.36	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.26per pick	42cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	56c	24,117$13,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,484.5	241	59.8%144 W · 97 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event