NBA · resolved market
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4405c62496c4fdd275d17ec31567a01534013c518c314ce61bb633b5e7cb6426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,582,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,161,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,582,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 510 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,237,866$7,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,084.55 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,098,199$6,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,914.46 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 761,351$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.89 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed Yes | 1c | 381,826$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…1d5fbacked Yes | 1c | 311,686$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 0c | 310,346$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.06 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Yes | 0c | 274,924$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.47 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 247,885$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.36 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 1c | 236,003$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.16 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 1c | 191,676$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 167,206$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.28 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 1c | 151,428$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.82 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 142,618$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…5d96backed Yes | 1c | 141,218$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked Yes | 0c | 141,036$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 1c | 138,382$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.22 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked Yes | 1c | 134,610$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 0c | 131,930$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.37 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes | 0c | 116,896$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Yes | 1c | 114,798$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.98 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 1c | 111,188$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.46 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Yes | 1c | 105,837$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.55 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 101,191$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.45 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfc…2e3abacked Yes | 2c | 99,258$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 95,331$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 1c | 95,171$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.84 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 83,983$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.62 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…2ee7backed Yes | 0c | 83,482$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…2c28backed Yes | 1c | 82,717$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Yes | 1c | 68,292$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.83 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41be…d38bbacked Yes | 0c | 66,955$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb13…c943backed Yes | 0c | 66,021$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…27c7backed Yes | 1c | 66,001$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…a79ebacked Yes | 1c | 62,510$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.98 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…98f8backed Yes | 0c | 62,322$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…f5acbacked Yes | 0c | 60,737$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13bf…4366backed Yes | 0c | 60,600$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…9ba4backed Yes | 0c | 60,437$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…17f5backed Yes | 0c | 59,649$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…e4a7backed Yes | 0c | 57,110$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d0…908bbacked Yes | 1c | 57,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…04adbacked Yes | 0c | 53,946$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…f0d9backed Yes | 0c | 53,742$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e50…2d32backed Yes | 0c | 53,583$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…6084backed Yes | 0c | 53,436$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 1c | 53,377$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.9 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2b…bc24backed Yes | 1c | 52,723$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 1c | 52,719$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.99 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b0…c117backed Yes | 0c | 52,624$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 0c | 51,744$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yes | 0c | 51,192$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.52 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 51,022$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.17 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 1c | 50,909$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.27 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 50,668$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.11 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…5800backed Yes | 1c | 50,215$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…5bcbbacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…afc9backed Yes | 1c | 49,600$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.8 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ae…4b60backed Yes | 0c | 49,397$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Yes | 1c | 48,750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41e…eba5backed Yes | 0c | 48,714$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899d…c30dbacked Yes | 1c | 46,362$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…dff6backed Yes | 1c | 45,682$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.49 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…6c97backed Yes | 1c | 45,273$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Yes | 1c | 44,954$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.81 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…ae34backed Yes | 1c | 44,587$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…fb8cbacked Yes | 1c | 43,672$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…3185backed Yes | 1c | 43,153$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419c…9111backed Yes | 1c | 40,925$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759f…9954backed Yes | 1c | 39,475$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…bb4abacked Yes | 0c | 39,133$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 0c | 39,000$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.62 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…708ebacked Yes | 1c | 38,974$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…108fbacked Yes | 1c | 37,824$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 37,721$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…ed58backed Yes | 1c | 37,640$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bb…e491backed Yes | 1c | 37,551$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…7af0backed Yes | 1c | 36,390$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.61 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…46c8backed Yes | 0c | 36,003$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 0c | 36,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9377…8484backed Yes | 1c | 35,500$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…46c7backed Yes | 1c | 35,404$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d8…2643backed Yes | 1c | 34,986$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1094…9ef7backed Yes | 1c | 34,552$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…9e83backed Yes | 1c | 34,304$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…4852backed Yes | 1c | 33,781$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bff…7291backed Yes | 1c | 33,663$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 0c | 32,974$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 31,987$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…9499backed Yes | 1c | 31,552$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…d6dabacked Yes | 1c | 31,242$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…9af9backed Yes | 1c | 30,180$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…ee68backed Yes | 0c | 30,006$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Yes | 2c | 30,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…9142backed Yes | 1c | 29,218$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…0b26backed Yes | 1c | 28,833$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…b21bbacked Yes | 1c | 28,770$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…0facbacked Yes | 1c | 27,515$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d2…9d5cbacked Yes | 1c | 26,982$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.