NBA · resolved market
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb76183fb9e7e80c5a8f983a87ceefd35c9c177f684dd001d7387dc7b70d596d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,351,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,351,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,351,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 1,185,624$7,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,169.65 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 1c | 793,390$7,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,684.2 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 491,208$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.52 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 332,009$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.01 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 0c | 300,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.95 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 268,160$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.12 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 1c | 230,974$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.76 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Yes | 0c | 201,090$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.27 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5890…9cd7backed Yes | 1c | 177,190$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 147,439$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.88 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee2b…bc24backed Yes | 1c | 134,146$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 131,329$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.25 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…27c7backed Yes | 1c | 129,047$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 0c | 126,212$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.21 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d8…2643backed Yes | 1c | 125,673$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 1c | 120,815$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.71 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…3185backed Yes | 1c | 118,292$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653d…5e2abacked Yes | 1c | 117,742$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 116,484$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…d6dabacked Yes | 1c | 106,215$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…9f44backed Yes | 1c | 103,451$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3b…5eafbacked Yes | 1c | 103,173$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…fb8cbacked Yes | 1c | 101,112$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6085…8ec3backed Yes | 1c | 96,665$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…dbd4backed Yes | 1c | 91,980$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…5cbabacked Yes | 1c | 90,609$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bff…7291backed Yes | 1c | 84,973$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 84,279$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…7931backed Yes | 1c | 83,060$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 1c | 81,441$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.44 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…a002backed Yes | 1c | 79,999$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e5…0f52backed Yes | 1c | 78,742$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…6c97backed Yes | 1c | 68,481$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 65,335$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.92 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…8aa8backed Yes | 1c | 64,050$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 63,156$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.35 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…dff6backed Yes | 1c | 62,111$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 61,256$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.86 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…a326backed Yes | 1c | 59,588$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…51b0backed Yes | 1c | 59,366$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…ca90backed Yes | 1c | 58,398$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…46c7backed Yes | 1c | 56,562$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x318c…85cabacked Yes | 1c | 54,419$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d2…7333backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…aa94backed Yes | 1c | 49,267$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…c655backed Yes | 1c | 49,226$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Yes | 1c | 47,922$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.97 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf27…d990backed Yes | 1c | 46,942$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Yes | 2c | 46,899$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.8 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…e5eebacked Yes | 1c | 46,396$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…c4f4backed Yes | 1c | 46,257$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…afc9backed Yes | 1c | 46,199$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.8 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd608…fcd1backed Yes | 1c | 45,794$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6783…9314backed Yes | 1c | 45,003$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bb…e491backed Yes | 1c | 43,787$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yes | 1c | 42,883$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.06 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…a79ebacked Yes | 1c | 42,215$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 1c | 41,126$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e78…8bdfbacked Yes | 1c | 40,126$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…5800backed Yes | 1c | 40,094$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…03d6backed Yes | 1c | 39,984$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…0fefbacked Yes | 1c | 39,294$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1094…9ef7backed Yes | 1c | 38,512$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…9bf3backed Yes | 1c | 37,829$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…12a8backed Yes | 1c | 36,629$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa593…9418backed Yes | 1c | 36,608$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ca…ed14backed Yes | 1c | 35,075$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceeb…e1b7backed Yes | 1c | 33,733$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…ae34backed Yes | 1c | 33,161$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 1c | 32,823$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…708ebacked Yes | 1c | 32,520$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 1c | 32,208$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.33 | 605 | 49.8%301 W · 304 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…eecabacked Yes | 1c | 31,881$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…09febacked Yes | 1c | 31,111$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ce…9de8backed Yes | 1c | 31,052$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 1c | 30,491$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.84 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…b472backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf675…dfbfbacked Yes | 1c | 29,810$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…fdccbacked Yes | 2c | 29,233$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759f…9954backed Yes | 1c | 28,610$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…22febacked Yes | 1c | 27,555$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…41b2backed Yes | 1c | 26,585$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…450bbacked Yes | 1c | 26,160$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…7af0backed Yes | 1c | 25,470$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9377…8484backed Yes | 1c | 25,445$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 25,178$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.71 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419c…9111backed Yes | 1c | 24,971$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…6c95backed Yes | 1c | 24,046$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 1c | 23,696$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a65…f2e7backed Yes | 1c | 23,137$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Yes | 1c | 22,314$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…c3a2backed Yes | 1c | 21,448$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 1c | 21,000$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899d…c30dbacked Yes | 1c | 20,653$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 20,528$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,195$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…841fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.