TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,350,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,402,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,350,912 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c3,946,997$4,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,655258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes1c1,070,078$7,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,242.4214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c613,125$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.1139435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes1c260,455$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.0646426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes0c230,944$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.781,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Yes0c190,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6604456.8%25 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked Yes1c170,244$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.953043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed Yes1c168,398$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.186132.8%20 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x436d…0c7fbacked Yes1c139,832$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x120d…aaa8backed Yes1c139,832$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6567…44d0backed Yes1c139,832$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9380…360dbacked Yes1c139,832$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf6b…199cbacked Yes1c139,737$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc454…38edbacked Yes1c139,659$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x693b…1c2ebacked Yes1c139,587$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f6…4cd7backed Yes1c139,587$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ef…be77backed Yes1c139,538$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41b…6b58backed Yes1c139,538$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x439a…248fbacked Yes1c139,538$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa164…bd29backed Yes1c139,506$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c75…1be5backed Yes1c139,403$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.821346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…dbadbacked Yes1c139,403$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd249…c4dfbacked Yes1c139,403$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53f…ebf4backed Yes1c139,403$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1171…33a2backed Yes1c139,403$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf846…c14dbacked Yes1c139,403$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7347…ceebbacked Yes1c139,403$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f9…2a9dbacked Yes1c139,403$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aeb…2a37backed Yes1c139,001$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69c…60b0backed Yes1c139,001$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7f…446ebacked Yes1c139,001$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc432…db44backed Yes1c138,852$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198e…f2f7backed Yes1c138,852$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffb5…7ce9backed Yes1c138,852$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f8…5163backed Yes1c138,852$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7029…8294backed Yes1c138,852$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6090…ab60backed Yes1c138,784$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dce…7231backed Yes1c138,784$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…f363backed Yes1c138,778$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cce…13ffbacked Yes1c121,684$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.793540%14 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8acf…4a88backed Yes1c121,684$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6366…c6fcbacked Yes1c121,684$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd207…2d03backed Yes1c121,615$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff19…22febacked Yes1c121,615$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd3…4229backed Yes1c121,529$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc33…aaadbacked Yes1c121,529$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f5e…43acbacked Yes1c121,529$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99b8…ef5cbacked Yes1c121,508$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bda…b847backed Yes1c121,498$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead5…b498backed Yes1c121,498$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32a…24cebacked Yes1c121,498$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb4…0390backed Yes1c121,422$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1554…55fabacked Yes1c121,422$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4915…1c69backed Yes1c121,360$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57bd…376cbacked Yes1c121,360$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c18…4552backed Yes1c120,851$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb2b…d1b7backed Yes1c120,822$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd979…93f7backed Yes1c120,613$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b44…21b7backed Yes1c120,613$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222e…db4abacked Yes1c120,562$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a5d…0654backed Yes1c120,562$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3147…4d48backed Yes1c120,562$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x487e…4136backed Yes1c120,562$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecf…7ac3backed Yes1c120,535$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2784…e092backed Yes1c120,523$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a24…f4cfbacked Yes1c120,516$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccbc…ce9dbacked Yes1c120,511$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd162…be72backed Yes1c120,505$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8286…a378backed Yes1c120,505$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e8…25ddbacked Yes1c120,500$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de4…ca70backed Yes1c120,471$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3f4…f9cdbacked Yes1c120,470$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x950d…6cc2backed Yes1c120,468$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a7…dd00backed Yes1c120,407$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe689…bf2fbacked Yes1c120,182$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb42…24b0backed Yes1c115,931$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42bb…3fefbacked Yes1c115,652$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c05…179ebacked Yes1c115,652$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb35b…5b70backed Yes1c115,652$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34e4…9ceebacked Yes1c115,652$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c112,106$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.75535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3edc…50f3backed Yes1c105,658$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5099…2169backed Yes1c105,658$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…6839backed Yes1c105,658$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e4…d521backed Yes1c105,579$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…d677backed Yes1c105,557$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe887…eb96backed Yes1c104,976$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc1…fa9abacked Yes1c104,976$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc044…f149backed Yes1c104,966$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca8…6fa7backed Yes1c104,919$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe9…3147backed Yes1c104,919$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e62…3beebacked Yes1c104,919$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes1c104,792$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.8733743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…2e0dbacked Yes0c100,680$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc8…e458backed Yes0c100,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008634.9%30 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes1c85,944$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.2182440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ee…bf85backed Yes1c84,281$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.5320031%62 W · 138 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes0c81,068$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fe7backed Yes0c78,089$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.096653%35 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Yes1c76,997$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.9711044.5%49 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.