NBA · resolved market

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x649ad05a2868343271fe82ea692031d567ca1af652e3529788933157e94aa088

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,929,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,676,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,929,080 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	1c	672,709$9,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,136.27	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd600…b66ebacked Yes	2c	588,574$9,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,526.85	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+159.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes	3c	438,922$11,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,868.86	127	40.2%51 W · 76 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes	3c	379,705$10,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,082.23	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…417cbacked Yes	1c	352,613$3,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,026.02	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes	1c	320,568$3,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,907	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	2c	312,878$6,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,443.87	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b0…5d96backed Yes	2c	252,875$3,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,882.54	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes	1c	235,013$1,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,626.26	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	1c	231,842$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,319.61	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	2c	229,267$5,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,160.92	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	1c	200,028$1,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,586.84	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x738a…b44cbacked Yes	2c	185,194$3,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,994.04	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Yes	0c	163,023$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.09	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf27b…6104backed Yes	2c	143,855$2,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,444.56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes	2c	142,264$3,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,124.99	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c84…4e36backed Yes	4c	131,942$5,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,564.41	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	2c	120,713$2,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,332.08	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes	2c	117,436$2,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,034.01	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	3c	116,128$3,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,125.86	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Yes	1c	101,085$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188.37	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x469c…309bbacked Yes	3c	98,118$2,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,850.31	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc743…66c0backed Yes	1c	96,753$1,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,423.29	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+22%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42d…2e9abacked Yes	4c	96,138$4,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,094.15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bc…ea6abacked Yes	1c	95,785$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.13	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	94,299$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.53	13	0%0 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Yes	2c	91,795$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,639.6	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes	2c	87,764$1,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,613.47	280	56.4%158 W · 122 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	3c	86,878$2,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,255.51	41	7.3%3 W · 38 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	2c	85,475$1,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,331	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes	1c	81,089$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.32	313	47%147 W · 166 L	-14.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf218…b395backed Yes	3c	80,080$2,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,151.53	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	6cpaid	+231.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	1c	75,680$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095.67	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	3c	71,718$2,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,262.27	88	23.9%21 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Yes	0c	70,714$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	71	15.5%11 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3069…83cdbacked Yes	3c	67,167$1,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,963.34	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42f6…4ad9backed Yes	1c	66,000$858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$858	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d7e…e6b1backed Yes	3c	64,395$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,679.53	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	9cpaid	+225.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed Yes	2c	63,354$1,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,252.78	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes	2c	62,770$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.85	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Yes	2c	62,573$1,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,319	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.21per pick	41cpaid	+70.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	1c	62,143$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.53	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes	1c	61,466$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.46	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Yes	1c	58,705$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.15	143	38.5%55 W · 88 L	-18.4wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes	3c	58,585$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510.48	216	49.1%106 W · 110 L	+18.8wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Yes	1c	57,841$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes	1c	56,766$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.66	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd859…c7c2backed Yes	1c	56,347$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.25	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes	2c	55,988$1,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,291.48	122	29.5%36 W · 86 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	1c	54,540$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.61	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad7…7608backed Yes	2c	54,145$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.37	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	2c	53,830$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.18	30	10%3 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Yes	1c	51,707$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.08	180	44.4%80 W · 100 L	+15.8wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Yes	3c	50,546$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,435.3	142	45.1%64 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes	2c	50,230$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes	2c	49,042$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.62	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	1c	47,126$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.95	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9f23…2124backed Yes	3c	45,535$1,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.6	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+261.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00c0…ffaabacked Yes	3c	44,650$1,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,253.29	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	+180.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaca…1571backed Yes	2c	43,475$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$962.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd645…fd11backed Yes	2c	42,218$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Yes	0c	41,000$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+258.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes	3c	40,541$1,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.73	367	48.2%177 W · 190 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes	1c	39,292$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.45	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e9…65d6backed Yes	2c	38,459$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes	1c	38,038$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.1	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a55…826fbacked Yes	2c	37,357$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	1c	36,353$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.78	111	36%40 W · 71 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1eb…7afebacked Yes	2c	35,717$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.35	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Yes	2c	35,270$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.55	160	30.6%49 W · 111 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	35,202$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.53	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes	3c	35,065$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.92	80	26.3%21 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes	3c	35,040$1,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.97	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Yes	3c	35,000$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055	100	49%49 W · 51 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Yes	2c	34,664$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823.59	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+7.5wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+26%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb834…ffd5backed Yes	2c	33,888$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x388a…e87cbacked Yes	1c	32,819$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	31cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	1c	31,062$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.57	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5091…55a5backed Yes	1c	30,262$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x517b…fe53backed Yes	1c	30,196$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.39	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	1cpaid	+229.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Yes	2c	29,133$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.22	186	28%52 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e0…3a93backed Yes	2c	28,985$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.26	92	14.1%13 W · 79 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…bcc2backed Yes	3c	28,610$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.16	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c22…0960backed Yes	1c	28,071$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.1	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Yes	2c	27,400$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.62	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes	2c	26,682$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	428	27.3%117 W · 311 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d53…e7aabacked Yes	2c	26,652$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes	1c	26,166$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.02	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd703…b62ebacked Yes	1c	26,028$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.24	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf960…0377backed Yes	4c	25,690$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eae…a704backed Yes	2c	24,828$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+109.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba07…d785backed Yes	2c	24,468$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.54	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes	1c	23,386$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316	108	35.2%38 W · 70 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe31…1113backed Yes	1c	23,000$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x757c…d040backed Yes	2c	22,869$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.04	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	15cpaid	+108.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8159…ed58backed Yes	2c	22,203$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448	262	46.6%122 W · 140 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes	1c	22,065$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.95	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	2c	22,053$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.93	232	37.1%86 W · 146 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd16e…6647backed Yes	1c	21,693$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	2cpaid	+1,215.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	3c	21,639$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.77	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	+19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event