NBA · resolved market

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13e1cc703a120883a709d3bb29707097952845d61ca6793ea2b4328bae2a7451

Rebuilt 28 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,369,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,021,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,369,252 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes	4c	450,274$20,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,244.12	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes	14c	356,478$51,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,267.44	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes	9c	161,540$14,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,269.99	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes	12c	160,868$19,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,116.56	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	11c	153,571$17,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,403.03	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	4c	148,423$5,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,552.76	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	4c	145,996$5,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,948.9	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	9c	134,799$12,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,027.02	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	4c	115,405$4,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,223.9	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…d873backed Yes	12c	110,200$12,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,833.06	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+215.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes	2c	104,941$1,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,903.64	49	10.2%5 W · 44 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19fc…b4e3backed Yes	15c	101,661$15,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,051.65	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+900%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	12c	99,348$11,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,845.87	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ff…f0c4backed Yes	12c	98,587$11,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,882.11	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes	12c	87,696$10,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,590.11	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	4c	85,958$3,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,645.78	88	23.9%21 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab4…e210backed Yes	15c	79,492$11,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,844.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	3c	78,416$2,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,328.04	41	7.3%3 W · 38 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes	5c	73,811$3,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,719.65	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Yes	2c	72,757$1,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,337.42	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Yes	9c	70,020$6,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,114.86	147	27.9%41 W · 106 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes	11c	69,244$7,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,847.19	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	10c	68,404$6,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,682.2	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	53,041$3,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,086.13	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Yes	14c	51,707$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes	5c	51,621$2,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,836.33	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	1c	51,472$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.78	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b50…71c9backed Yes	6c	50,934$3,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,177.85	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes	13c	50,000$6,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,503.29	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Yes	10c	50,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100.46	100	49%49 W · 51 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Yes	9c	48,695$4,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,183.03	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes	8c	47,806$3,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,837.04	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	11c	46,704$5,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,189.14	30	10%3 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes	4c	46,171$2,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,045.4	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7305…1cb7backed Yes	12c	45,836$5,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,592	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-4.8wins	-0.26per pick	54cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	13c	45,357$5,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,697.07	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+53.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	7c	44,982$3,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,042.28	129	30.2%39 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a3c…1734backed Yes	7c	43,226$2,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,985.1	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes	11c	43,000$4,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,723.42	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Yes	10c	42,545$4,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,245.36	125	29.6%37 W · 88 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes	12c	42,262$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	12c	41,856$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100.46	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd008…135dbacked Yes	9c	40,000$3,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,415.65	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+141%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Yes	6c	40,000$2,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,409.99	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	5c	39,924$2,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,193.89	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes	2c	39,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.85	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Yes	8c	38,316$2,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,874.41	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1d…4683backed Yes	12c	37,677$4,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,699.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	1c	37,240$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.16	197	8.6%17 W · 180 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	11c	37,203$4,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,237.71	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes	1c	36,144$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.44	122	29.5%36 W · 86 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes	15c	35,504$5,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,290.09	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes	12c	35,000$4,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,260.86	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes	13c	33,330$4,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,180.27	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes	11c	33,243$3,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,808.36	78	69.2%54 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	70cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes	6c	31,900$1,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,911.18	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes	13c	31,306$3,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,937.14	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+3.4wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+92.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Yes	12c	30,693$3,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,651.13	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes	10c	30,017$2,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,880.92	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc68…8662backed Yes	15c	30,000$4,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,530	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-34%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	6c	29,074$1,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,748.66	98	4.1%4 W · 94 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c8…9617backed Yes	8c	28,554$2,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,364.97	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Yes	8c	27,989$2,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,169.29	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	25cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7187…f08bbacked Yes	10c	26,854$2,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,798.87	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Yes	9c	26,731$2,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,392.87	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes	2c	26,713$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.38	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	10c	26,487$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,599.98	205	36.6%75 W · 130 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d84…b881backed Yes	12c	25,967$3,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,084.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	12c	25,955$3,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,036.95	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	-10.6wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Yes	3c	25,861$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.84	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf24c…8bd9backed Yes	4c	25,737$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.55	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	11c	25,463$2,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,871.57	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes	8c	25,399$2,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,033.77	127	40.2%51 W · 76 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	12c	25,026$3,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,022.33	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes	11c	24,588$2,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,582.17	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes	13c	24,550$3,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,173.15	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad7…7608backed Yes	14c	24,500$3,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,382.76	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc14…be76backed Yes	14c	23,796$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,299.87	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes	12c	23,446$2,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700.66	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Yes	8c	22,986$1,831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,831.05	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec1…467abacked Yes	12c	22,542$2,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,612.7	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Yes	3c	21,631$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.47	176	58%102 W · 74 L	+13.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	9c	21,500$1,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,975.05	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab8…050bbacked Yes	13c	21,391$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes	1c	21,019$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.11	563	48.5%273 W · 290 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes	1c	20,757$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.5	77	26%20 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes	12c	20,201$2,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,391.86	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.21per pick	34cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	9c	19,917$1,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,832.36	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a52…05b4backed Yes	15c	19,711$2,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,896.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3439…22a1backed Yes	13c	19,598$2,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,488.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes	4c	19,187$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.69	68	20.6%14 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfca…8b3abacked Yes	14c	18,226$2,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,527.06	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Yes	11c	17,412$1,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,864	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	25cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Yes	13c	17,101$2,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,255.17	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes	11c	17,012$1,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,859.54	116	39.7%46 W · 70 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3540…e13cbacked Yes	12c	16,352$1,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,991.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8d41…a377backed Yes	6c	16,330$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.69	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	7cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Yes	12c	16,320$1,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,991.04	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes	12c	16,019$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.22	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	11c	15,986$1,739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,739.41	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event