NHL · resolved market
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08fa7d350c801391e7ec81d0da90f1fb05ec365f98d16d27e6d64a18d7118973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,792,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,481,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,792,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 0c | 104,137$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 88,685$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 70,364$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b8…c181backed Yes | 0c | 63,952$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf178…c931backed Yes | 0c | 50,019$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…79f7backed Yes | 0c | 49,330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 2c | 46,252$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.26 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 37,700$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 0c | 24,516$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8625…9fb8backed Yes | 0c | 21,211$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 18,882$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.09 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 18,200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…17c5backed Yes | 0c | 17,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 16,345$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.24 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 2c | 15,716$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.21 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 0c | 15,260$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…1127backed Yes | 0c | 14,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 0c | 14,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 0c | 14,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Yes | 2c | 12,615$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.37 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…93cabacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eda…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 11,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…744cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,760$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd330…a7aabacked Yes | 1c | 10,745$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…8f57backed Yes | 1c | 10,745$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 10,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…205bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,174$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…d974backed Yes | 0c | 10,160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…1f63backed Yes | 0c | 10,140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…e19dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…356bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…fd6bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…d681backed Yes | 0c | 9,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 9,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…a05bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…5c51backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…b96cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,968$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 8,905$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 8,744$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,910$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5458…0b85backed Yes | 0c | 7,741$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…7d46backed Yes | 0c | 7,587$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b0…cf23backed Yes | 1c | 6,857$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe11…990bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…ca07backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…602bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…e6d8backed Yes | 0c | 6,378$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,927$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,742$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,718$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…1dc9backed Yes | 0c | 5,366$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…415fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…0eaebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 2c | 4,907$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,893$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 1c | 4,708$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…d55cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec80…2cd7backed Yes | 1c | 3,499$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 2c | 3,477$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…adb9backed Yes | 0c | 3,075$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e6…a806backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…05e8backed Yes | 0c | 2,857$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 2c | 2,506$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 2c | 2,289$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes | 4c | 1,976$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 2c | 1,922$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…ca1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,913$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…6ccdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,690$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,584$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…b675backed Yes | 3c | 1,488$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…1c6fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,419$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc143…d7f4backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…498cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,308$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,212$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 2c | 1,210$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe407…1df9backed Yes | 3c | 1,186$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…0d05backed Yes | 2c | 1,057$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…5987backed Yes | 3c | 1,048$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2538…b975backed Yes | 3c | 1,010$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…f9c6backed Yes | 2c | 916.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 862.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…c207backed Yes | 2c | 854.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…82edbacked Yes | 2c | 808.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…5d33backed Yes | 2c | 697.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a7…bce1backed Yes | 2c | 585.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 2c | 564.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…7a31backed Yes | 3c | 558.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f81…3a83backed Yes | 3c | 537.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…be4dbacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…2be8backed Yes | 4c | 349.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.