NHL · resolved market
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41d6f86edc88c14aa83373e72b4c26a403b159208f8973c093b928fe16d72930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,182,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $628,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,182,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 66,989$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 37,787$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,938$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 24,098$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 23,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f3…f803backed Yes | 0c | 22,761$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 22,331$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…24b2backed Yes | 0c | 22,091$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…62fcbacked Yes | 0c | 19,974$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 0c | 18,402$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 15,866$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d53…4549backed Yes | 0c | 14,986$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…d269backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 0c | 13,904$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…4148backed Yes | 0c | 13,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 0c | 11,847$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651e…6ab7backed Yes | 0c | 10,566$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35f…3abfbacked Yes | 0c | 8,473$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5525backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…d0ffbacked Yes | 0c | 7,141$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…76c0backed Yes | 0c | 6,479$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…7a52backed Yes | 0c | 6,470$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee24…002ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,466$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f6c8backed Yes | 0c | 6,466$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…d24bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,114$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 6,040$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd412…8790backed Yes | 0c | 6,014$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…e727backed Yes | 0c | 6,014$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…5f66backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…169fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,914$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…7b3cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,914$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…b146backed Yes | 0c | 5,860$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…5987backed Yes | 1c | 5,802$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…5a4fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,671$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…adbcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,671$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 5,393$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Yes | 0c | 4,111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,999$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b77…2eb0backed Yes | 0c | 2,689$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8376…feb4backed Yes | 1c | 2,680$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,368$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.