TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,247,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$535,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,247,565 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c110,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c69,851$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.9826136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d5…2d5cbacked Yes0c62,144$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c52,503$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4876…5f00backed Yes0c52,412$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd675…153dbacked Yes0c47,452$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes0c42,781$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes1c41,594$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.6565345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes0c25,060$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1734032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes0c23,166$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.72270%0 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c22,651$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.05310%0 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f1e…f334backed Yes1c20,665$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b2…caf1backed Yes1c15,260$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9626…282bbacked Yes1c14,170$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Yes7c12,817$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.9512742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes0c12,194$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.57240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1825…c651backed Yes0c10,319$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fc…a2fdbacked Yes1c10,172$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes5c10,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.992611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe407…1df9backed Yes2c9,314$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.23119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e77…a542backed Yes0c9,274$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf205…ae0dbacked Yes1c8,622$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-74.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e2…30acbacked Yes0c8,620$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c8,244$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7343944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4740…6cddbacked Yes1c7,590$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd07…e02ebacked Yes1c7,590$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes2c6,767$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3590%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf891…35b3backed Yes0c5,970$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9460%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes1c5,651$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6113954%75 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8636…43a4backed Yes0c5,095$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b99…9f1dbacked Yes1c5,086$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf883…115cbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes1c4,746$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.026414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9aa9…e270backed Yes0c4,715$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes1c4,275$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.77254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes0c4,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes6c3,796$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.116554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eda…1c80backed Yes0c3,655$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fe…7061backed Yes0c3,485$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf8…acdbbacked Yes1c3,428$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7fb…c82cbacked Yes0c3,333$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes1c3,091$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.552814.3%4 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+129.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes3c3,049$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.251,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes1c2,913$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.01234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes0c2,837$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.063735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick23cpaid-13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes3c2,752$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4238040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes2c2,748$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.967540%30 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b06…903abacked Yes1c2,695$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4a…edebbacked Yes1c2,600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e5…1dc9backed Yes1c2,569$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.141827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…423abacked Yes0c2,558$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb651…2089backed Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b0…cf23backed Yes1c2,297$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.78120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c2,257$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5822516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes1c2,224$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x795a…ca23backed Yes1c2,160$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fbc…acc7backed Yes5c2,135$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes4c2,104$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9860042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a83…a7d4backed Yes0c2,033$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc143…d7f4backed Yes1c2,006$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8646…ed78backed Yes1c1,966$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Yes3c1,897$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4918931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c1,677$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c69…bbc6backed Yes1c1,558$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5d…6c8cbacked Yes1c1,547$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5880%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes2c1,534$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Yes4c1,525$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.769744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af3…dc15backed Yes5c1,500$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-54.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef47…8899backed Yes1c1,438$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2360%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes1c1,366$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3380%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8672…c3e1backed Yes1c1,339$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.39210%0 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ad…e353backed Yes2c1,334$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.181833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d1…0e00backed Yes1c1,313$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes1c1,256$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99200%0 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes3c1,252$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.98147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-86.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb79…34fdbacked Yes8c1,216$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6019…01afbacked Yes1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes1c1,085$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d88…afe1backed Yes2c1,037$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed Yes10c1,015$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-56.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bb8…63ffbacked Yes1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5531…76fcbacked Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6122…03f8backed Yes1c980$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe946…0459backed Yes1c869.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Yes2c800$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43560%21 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c9f…32b4backed Yes2c600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes5c515.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.265141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes8c434.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3554132.7%177 W · 364 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547845.8%219 W · 259 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x651e…6ab7backed Yes3c349.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2bf…f587backed Yes7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes6c285$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-82.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff24…c91ebacked Yes7c277.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae2…319fbacked Yes5c208.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes10c202.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8842…834ebacked Yes7c144.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.