TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2bf…f587

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Golf, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.75
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+249%+$451.93
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.15
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.19
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.38
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.61
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.79
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.74
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.86
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.62
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+332.5%+$292.92
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.51
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$35.58
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$38.62
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+588.8%+$1,060.8
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$197.52
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$89.18
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60.8
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$42.5
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.6
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.21
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.58
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$56.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+87.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+274.6%+$86.79
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.