TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,893,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,956,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,893,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8679…4659backed Yes39c317,619$124,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192,686.521758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes78c122,918$96,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,631.141258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes37c116,853$42,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,921.7611441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes10c114,722$11,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,336.011,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed No54c95,000$51,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,449.978749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Yes48c61,399$29,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,628.714057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes37c59,503$22,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,481.8930551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782a…48d7backed Yes15c58,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No51c57,916$29,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,554.0411352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f79…e543backed Yes13c57,000$7,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,5901100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0303…bbffbacked Yes12c56,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb240…b5cabacked Yes12c56,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c5…45cdbacked Yes12c56,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1754…d0b3backed Yes12c56,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe34c…2d3abacked Yes11c56,000$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,8401100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddcb…c910backed Yes12c56,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bea…2e3fbacked Yes12c56,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes21c50,664$10,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,122.363246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes34c48,160$16,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,929.041216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked No59c47,571$27,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,964.6516645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes79c45,127$35,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,566.141580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Yes51c42,000$21,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,60011445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked No74c36,206$26,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,812.4536242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e7…65abbacked Yes11c35,294$3,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,446.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+223.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f24…05efbacked Yes48c32,286$15,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,935.561838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes15c31,515$4,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,872.7115431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes10c30,002$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,005.051662.5%10 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+85.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x33f2…4e69backed Yes49c28,663$14,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,589.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes54c28,134$15,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,024.395164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69cd…e8b3backed No50c26,378$13,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,18910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3775…6a6abacked Yes50c26,377$13,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,188.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes47c22,444$10,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,884.2231546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Yes46c21,493$9,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,605.951040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No55c20,073$11,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,050.0825340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes13c18,570$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,096.41922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+94.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes13c17,617$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,381.942236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes8c16,333$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,029.287532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed No53c15,473$8,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,208.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes46c15,000$6,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,102.591154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed No46c13,248$6,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,133.0926344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked No52c13,000$6,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,819.997352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes36c12,888$4,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,272.1383652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes9c12,000$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,924.46911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes14c11,503$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,875.461811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes61c10,496$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,125.3644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes47c9,791$4,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,188.9810451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yes50c9,500$4,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,72521750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Yes54c9,291$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,290.626448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed7f…4fc0backed No55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd63…fb7ebacked Yes9c8,671$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,890.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes68c8,469$5,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.731060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No41c7,895$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,210.635154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes20c6,942$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,536.44240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes57c6,105$3,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,629.310739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0537…13b6backed Yes48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1203748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes39c5,902$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,610.3181846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes28c5,778$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,13631744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed No55c5,457$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.31656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes39c5,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.35per pick29cpaid+168.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Yes78c5,122$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.266147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Yes58c5,012$2,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.8913551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbb…3607backed Yes46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7001850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Yes44c5,000$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes46c4,997$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,698.4114253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…d813backed Yes9c4,900$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,454.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,001.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafa2…08a3backed Yes31c4,571$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,155.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+61.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes9c4,500$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0951100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No49c4,167$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.9810745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ad…344cbacked Yes12c4,167$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc68…8662backed Yes53c3,954$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7238…cbc1backed Yes43c3,796$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.54812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-71%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef71…c333backed Yes51c3,716$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes9c3,570$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.68313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes50c3,472$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.2819836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Yes41c3,389$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.8817448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Yes55c2,685$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.999863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xde91…9803backed Yes8c2,567$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.342138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes28c2,500$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.846126.2%16 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes72c2,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7004100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes11c2,500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a41…069abacked Yes77c2,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed No59c2,400$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.3829949.8%149 W · 150 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd431…b1e8backed Yes10c2,400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1601100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked No52c2,382$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.6913655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes26c2,350$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.8711141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes11c2,332$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.061020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No21c2,222$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.6221850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No64c2,173$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.4133837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf0…6215backed Yes11c2,136$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.921010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes20c2,082$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b76…edefbacked No36c2,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked No64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes9c1,955$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.7916554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63da…ab2abacked Yes69c1,875$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c70…e76dbacked Yes7c1,850$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+614.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf330…f779backed Yes11c1,788$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.212536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes70c1,774$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No10c1,714$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b94…66c4backed Yes49c1,707$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691e…9b99backed Yes9c1,696$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.31258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+81.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.