NHL · resolved market

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea6add66b06dfdd20b051f6dea7e3ed6e5087a22686f1f65feb8ed14b60e9c2a

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,745,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,126,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,745,381 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaa34…b895backed Yes	5c	52,500$2,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,572.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x659d…f445backed Yes	5c	52,000$2,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,652	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes	3c	45,184$1,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,393.26	75	32%24 W · 51 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	4c	33,306$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.39	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf0c…1146backed Yes	4c	30,163$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,266.85	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70e0…e809backed Yes	4c	19,800$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes	9c	11,115$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	152	61.8%94 W · 58 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	6c	9,898$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.19	114	41.2%47 W · 67 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	4c	7,018$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.98	818	46%376 W · 442 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	8c	6,502$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.17	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ec…7cd3backed Yes	8c	6,500$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.5	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-65%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb49…dfa1backed Yes	5c	5,163$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bc9…2c38backed Yes	5c	4,491$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.06	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.24per pick	32cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x093b…4971backed Yes	5c	4,229$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fae…d885backed Yes	5c	4,205$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe30e…df18backed Yes	6c	4,182$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.7	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x064d…a0e4backed Yes	6c	4,100$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.18	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.29per pick	31cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdeb…22dbbacked Yes	4c	4,051$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b4e…5435backed Yes	4c	4,050$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes	4c	4,014$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.62	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24c3…3124backed Yes	4c	3,963$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1002…eb45backed Yes	4c	3,949$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda9a…348dbacked Yes	4c	3,800$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59de…592abacked Yes	5c	3,724$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b18…798cbacked Yes	4c	3,704$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17eb…4bd6backed Yes	4c	3,689$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf59b…1d08backed Yes	5c	3,608$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Yes	7c	3,559$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.56	362	42%152 W · 210 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes	4c	3,519$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.36	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5003…a70cbacked Yes	4c	3,506$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes	4c	3,500$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	4c	3,408$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.01	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x150c…c100backed Yes	4c	3,405$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	8c	3,254$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.11	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce04…6d5abacked Yes	4c	3,129$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes	6c	2,500$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	7c	2,400$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.81	154	31.8%49 W · 105 L	-12.4wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9a2…6eacbacked Yes	4c	2,400$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff9…9940backed Yes	4c	2,370$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes	4c	2,370$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	181	36.5%66 W · 115 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c65…8291backed Yes	4c	2,344$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.4	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f03…7826backed Yes	4c	2,274$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93c5…704abacked Yes	4c	2,260$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde49…125cbacked Yes	4c	2,260$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccd…855dbacked Yes	4c	2,250$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ae2…f650backed Yes	4c	2,214$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x684d…156ebacked Yes	5c	2,209$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78f9…65b3backed Yes	4c	2,209$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…24a0backed Yes	4c	2,209$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e7…583bbacked Yes	5c	2,200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa16e…86bebacked Yes	4c	2,200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cd…55c1backed Yes	5c	2,168$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3027…e1d9backed Yes	5c	2,140$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	5c	2,112$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.92	265	47.5%126 W · 139 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1885…eb78backed Yes	6c	2,092$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7647…102dbacked Yes	4c	2,090$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d7a…d08ebacked Yes	4c	2,090$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Yes	7c	2,079$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.08	131	58.8%77 W · 54 L	+8.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabc0…7f71backed Yes	4c	2,059$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8272…541dbacked Yes	4c	2,000$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.11	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb3a…eda0backed Yes	4c	2,000$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbfb…a6b6backed Yes	4c	2,000$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe27e…e7c8backed Yes	4c	2,000$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5a…294abacked Yes	4c	2,000$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9bc…5897backed Yes	4c	2,000$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa81a…4e00backed Yes	5c	2,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2004…cf96backed Yes	4c	2,000$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae96…38a1backed Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b3…03c7backed Yes	4c	2,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91f3…0811backed Yes	4c	2,000$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x403d…ad10backed Yes	4c	2,000$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2246…f697backed Yes	4c	2,000$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad98…ff23backed Yes	4c	2,000$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bb…b351backed Yes	4c	2,000$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33cf…0b33backed Yes	4c	2,000$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3efd…6938backed Yes	4c	1,991$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	5c	1,928$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.11	913	34.1%311 W · 602 L	-27.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e36…cd3ebacked Yes	4c	1,900$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b88…2eb7backed Yes	4c	1,900$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24d5…b05dbacked Yes	4c	1,900$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x506f…4233backed Yes	4c	1,900$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3451…6c7fbacked Yes	5c	1,900$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb2…ac7bbacked Yes	5c	1,842$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd688…b771backed Yes	5c	1,842$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c78…988dbacked Yes	5c	1,840$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbf…350ebacked Yes	5c	1,840$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e61…9860backed Yes	4c	1,805$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes	7c	1,768$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.08	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	29cpaid	+49%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6911…cec8backed Yes	5c	1,610$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64d3…b920backed Yes	5c	1,610$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd88f…8d2cbacked Yes	5c	1,571$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.62	138	37.7%52 W · 86 L	-11.9wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x106f…83d5backed Yes	5c	1,547$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.38	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+257.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e40…4d57backed Yes	5c	1,515$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes	4c	1,500$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	7c	1,500$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	384	45.8%176 W · 208 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6e…96ffbacked Yes	4c	1,332$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.08	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Yes	8c	1,199$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes	6c	1,194$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.65	653	45%294 W · 359 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed Yes	5c	1,122$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.84	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd9…d270backed Yes	4c	1,114$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event