TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,347,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$964,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,347,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c100,109$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.873116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c87,715$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.86392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c4…3fa7backed Yes0c42,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa402…adb4backed Yes0c35,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x903c…92d0backed Yes0c27,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1a…dcccbacked Yes0c26,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96f…3207backed Yes0c26,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b1…f682backed Yes0c26,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb9f…0328backed Yes0c24,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a2…1308backed Yes0c24,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5baa…4af8backed Yes0c24,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc2…9abcbacked Yes0c23,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes2c22,165$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.5313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e64…2cd8backed Yes0c22,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c19,150$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.45440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe043…f363backed Yes0c18,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a7…7ebbbacked Yes1c14,982$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7260%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709f…6025backed Yes0c12,960$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa09d…e346backed Yes0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd83d…1e07backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b81…de0ebacked Yes3c9,989$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes2c8,203$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4325340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac52…3db9backed Yes2c7,580$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7960%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0274…307bbacked Yes4c6,482$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4770%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes2c6,349$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.896613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-75.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a5…4032backed Yes1c4,424$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.43714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-58%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes1c4,167$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2565345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9394…45e5backed Yes3c3,039$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes2c3,023$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.71160%0 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes1c3,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes1c2,744$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4780%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb3…206cbacked Yes1c2,667$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d7a…eb81backed Yes1c2,600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afc…90b5backed Yes1c2,600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f1…1a6ebacked Yes1c2,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes1c2,332$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.98185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-62.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes3c2,222$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76df…8a63backed Yes2c2,073$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e23…b219backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd949…4ed0backed Yes2c1,958$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5427…4601backed Yes2c1,900$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c31…b176backed Yes3c1,869$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0000…41eabacked Yes3c1,827$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff05…0a63backed Yes2c1,805$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8447…fddcbacked Yes1c1,714$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…2178backed Yes2c1,686$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.01714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-71.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa59e…209fbacked Yes1c1,670$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb20…da74backed Yes2c1,667$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes2c1,600$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…e653backed Yes3c1,549$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee3…1dddbacked Yes2c1,313$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Yes3c1,300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3311951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e59…224dbacked Yes3c1,216$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes2c1,200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcd…fa0abacked Yes1c1,163$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2518…a4ccbacked Yes1c1,146$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0170%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes2c1,019$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6970%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0e…10dabacked Yes2c1,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe9…5479backed Yes2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97aa…c9a2backed Yes3c1,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d4…4d68backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc103…1138backed Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.091010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-81.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff41…7951backed Yes3c1,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a6e…ca94backed Yes2c1,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2878…5738backed Yes2c972.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes3c920.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99fc…bf2dbacked Yes2c901.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a0…dbf0backed Yes3c896$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d88…ed1bbacked Yes2c889.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6704…baa4backed Yes3c858.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d4…3ccfbacked Yes3c807.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f52…fbf7backed Yes3c758$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadcb…787ebacked Yes3c745.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b6…055bbacked Yes2c720$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb175…2fedbacked Yes3c662$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes2c615.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4660%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x324a…99d2backed Yes2c612.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd667…7a55backed Yes3c586$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc913…8457backed Yes2c576.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3b…ec6ebacked Yes3c561.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f1…1952backed Yes3c553$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48c…6aa7backed Yes3c538.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfea…15ecbacked Yes2c519.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3980%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1e…e2c9backed Yes2c499$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a6…7753backed Yes3c490$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d3…fab3backed Yes2c485.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x107c…b412backed Yes3c467.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ad…72fdbacked Yes3c461$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a4…bb6abacked Yes3c459$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…3eccbacked Yes3c451$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8abd…df85backed Yes3c425.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ce6…ff9cbacked Yes3c425$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…307cbacked Yes2c421.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1250%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46cb…c3adbacked Yes3c398.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27e8…3c26backed Yes3c388$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe89d…b80ebacked Yes3c357.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x534d…84fbbacked Yes6c351.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.