TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,515,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$902,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,515,030 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c249,997$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c231,184$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.273116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes1c195,159$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.22130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc4c…7a8dbacked Yes1c191,939$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.5730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a96…5cb0backed Yes1c191,939$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.5730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e52…ae15backed Yes0c55,813$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes0c37,049$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.12313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f69…9368backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c31,412$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.88230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…81c4backed Yes0c31,082$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5da…0f8ebacked Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes1c14,934$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.71140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c12,850$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c12,300$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d5…05adbacked Yes0c11,937$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes1c9,316$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.312920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c9,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c8,923$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.15530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8064…ff5cbacked Yes0c7,723$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebf…6fbdbacked Yes1c7,338$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…fa8ebacked Yes0c7,113$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c0a…2d08backed Yes0c7,031$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc4…c122backed Yes0c6,888$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843f…5696backed Yes0c6,782$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94af…aceebacked Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x881b…28acbacked Yes2c6,627$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c38…2fc9backed Yes1c6,600$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a6…6e2ebacked Yes0c6,060$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c6,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3358…617fbacked Yes0c5,703$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddcf…ba06backed Yes0c5,523$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa034…dbe2backed Yes0c5,521$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3a…7730backed Yes0c5,467$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d4…6183backed Yes0c5,209$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cff…32a5backed Yes1c5,021$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc4…6233backed Yes0c5,011$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf743…e933backed Yes0c5,002$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d2a…6236backed Yes1c5,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ea…b13cbacked Yes1c5,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…917bbacked Yes0c4,986$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6441…4edbbacked Yes0c4,910$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7c…0af4backed Yes0c4,893$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e08…db72backed Yes0c4,887$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d1…83eebacked Yes0c4,873$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6630…1b29backed Yes0c4,811$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1272…60b9backed Yes0c4,764$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…24b5backed Yes0c4,706$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ff3…b655backed Yes0c4,701$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6406…1ce5backed Yes0c4,690$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd925…86b5backed Yes1c4,600$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd544…4266backed Yes0c4,523$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0942…8e85backed Yes0c4,488$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x756a…9e57backed Yes0c4,477$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda0…cfabbacked Yes0c4,451$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67c1…97d9backed Yes0c4,437$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd86b…1772backed Yes1c4,436$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72af…5a3cbacked Yes1c4,429$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…ecb6backed Yes0c4,402$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3192…9eebbacked Yes0c4,321$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce3a…8eefbacked Yes0c4,271$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dc…58f7backed Yes0c4,263$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe153…ef3cbacked Yes0c4,256$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ef…b084backed Yes0c4,199$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e0e…1557backed Yes1c4,090$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x955f…f1cfbacked Yes0c4,090$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x816a…433dbacked Yes0c4,080$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91d…36efbacked Yes0c4,070$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d2…bce4backed Yes0c4,061$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d84…042fbacked Yes0c4,014$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c4…8e66backed Yes1c4,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2840%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd29…3ad2backed Yes1c4,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-54.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabdf…8ba9backed Yes1c4,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2017…6b11backed Yes1c4,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23df…a45bbacked Yes1c4,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b29…3812backed Yes0c4,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59fc…7de4backed Yes0c3,912$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad06…ab6ebacked Yes0c3,876$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50bf…f96abacked Yes0c3,861$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2535…6244backed Yes1c3,828$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.840%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd65…6b9cbacked Yes1c3,714$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2640%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd41f…989dbacked Yes0c3,690$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb61…4eb2backed Yes0c3,581$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40f…e2e7backed Yes1c3,571$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-51%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4043…8fbabacked Yes1c3,571$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd13…0626backed Yes1c3,571$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf368…9262backed Yes1c3,516$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.61425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…3b35backed Yes0c3,507$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ebd…5dbabacked Yes1c3,429$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0936…8c82backed Yes1c3,429$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4088…99dbbacked Yes0c3,396$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6432…c20dbacked Yes1c3,313$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.19425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6a…56a3backed Yes1c3,143$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick13cpaid-47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb621…8b6ebacked Yes1c3,143$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc850…e44bbacked Yes1c3,143$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-63.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0af…875bbacked Yes1c3,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e71…769dbacked Yes1c3,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69c7…df69backed Yes1c3,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-54.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50c…2b28backed Yes1c2,818$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7c…de29backed Yes1c2,778$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0439…8404backed Yes1c2,738$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.