TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,116,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,297,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,116,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c516,793$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.5392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c170,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c109,530$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.72440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e63…be51backed Yes0c69,018$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes0c66,825$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.82313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c39,988$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.91530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes1c29,000$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Yes1c25,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c23,000$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes1c18,798$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.533225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes0c17,776$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.227532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes1c17,312$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.817540%30 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes0c17,267$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes1c14,691$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.15130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e3…b455backed Yes2c13,995$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.4350%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Yes1c11,619$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.27100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x701a…2a4bbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9488…b5a6backed Yes0c7,640$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…1017backed Yes2c5,781$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x921d…efb8backed Yes0c5,768$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13ca…9457backed Yes1c5,545$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c3…bc32backed Yes1c5,531$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af3…dc15backed Yes1c5,480$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.321225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-54.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ff…4fecbacked Yes1c5,389$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc820…eb01backed Yes1c5,200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f9…92eabacked Yes1c5,200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c1…5ffcbacked Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee2…1340backed Yes1c4,986$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8171…e2c0backed Yes1c4,986$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9026…e116backed Yes1c4,822$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d88…47aabacked Yes1c4,822$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb048…f992backed Yes1c4,500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd436…f12cbacked Yes1c4,147$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes1c4,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4962backed Yes1c3,850$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa728…5a45backed Yes1c3,734$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes1c3,643$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.69160%0 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab15…4eb3backed Yes1c3,593$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309b…586ebacked Yes1c3,593$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e48…1373backed Yes1c3,561$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbff…7d26backed Yes1c3,427$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b41…66c5backed Yes1c3,195$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cb…164bbacked Yes1c3,014$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8c…5964backed Yes1c3,001$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91d…36efbacked Yes1c2,898$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde61…750abacked Yes1c2,847$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f1…4a46backed Yes1c2,798$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc4…c122backed Yes1c2,766$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d1…9ed0backed Yes1c2,600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd8…0d1abacked Yes1c2,600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54c…52f6backed Yes1c2,581$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb37…66dfbacked Yes1c2,555$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xded3…53b9backed Yes0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e14…79a0backed Yes1c2,498$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd224…f074backed Yes1c2,493$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf8c…1bb3backed Yes1c2,412$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc4…6233backed Yes1c2,409$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f6…e888backed Yes1c2,406$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb8…d8d3backed Yes1c2,394$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae6d…9fd3backed Yes1c2,380$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…21b1backed Yes1c2,314$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090b…1b8fbacked Yes1c2,211$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf412…891fbacked Yes1c2,119$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83d…5080backed Yes1c2,025$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1f9…4330backed Yes1c2,022$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ee…f581backed Yes1c2,019$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes1c2,011$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0634032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb72…115bbacked Yes1c2,001$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c27…9880backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c71…9cdebacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…ac08backed Yes1c1,968$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5951…6c98backed Yes1c1,966$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x967c…9422backed Yes1c1,923$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa321…fed8backed Yes1c1,900$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc43…e4d5backed Yes1c1,900$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6f…679bbacked Yes1c1,900$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08d0…9319backed Yes1c1,900$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb49a…ef77backed Yes1c1,900$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3a…7730backed Yes1c1,894$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b27…1414backed Yes1c1,887$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd07a…69aabacked Yes1c1,878$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes1c1,876$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5250%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9512…67a2backed Yes1c1,875$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b92…d55abacked Yes1c1,835$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb914…3713backed Yes1c1,744$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c50…7509backed Yes1c1,727$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c0…6a5cbacked Yes1c1,710$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654d…197ebacked Yes1c1,705$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Yes1c1,686$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd072…5cc8backed Yes1c1,647$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12e…971fbacked Yes1c1,621$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…55b2backed Yes1c1,609$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40c…e507backed Yes1c1,584$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8d…c8d3backed Yes1c1,569$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6fc…98cfbacked Yes1c1,528$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9797…c24dbacked Yes1c1,478$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb64f…698abacked Yes1c1,449$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…0209backed Yes1c1,438$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.