TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,686,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,888,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,686,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461d…12a3backed Yes1c1,313,509$7,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,881.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e2b…6482backed Yes1c1,285,562$7,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,713.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22e…13a4backed Yes1c1,270,811$7,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,624.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x614e…b703backed Yes1c1,243,184$7,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,459.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb471…175abacked Yes1c1,226,104$7,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,356.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb4…f6c9backed Yes1c1,202,194$7,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,213.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6315…05e3backed Yes1c1,202,194$7,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,213.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b47…b53ebacked Yes1c1,198,238$7,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,189.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2829…6770backed Yes1c1,194,522$7,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,167.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e6…559cbacked Yes1c1,194,522$7,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,167.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c15…92dcbacked Yes1c1,188,754$7,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,132.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ae…8538backed Yes1c1,188,754$7,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,132.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…4442backed Yes1c1,161,776$6,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,970.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071f…9323backed Yes1c1,161,776$6,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,970.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca8…6c44backed Yes1c1,160,200$6,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,961.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf1…2bc0backed Yes1c1,132,586$6,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,795.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa38…fb5cbacked Yes1c1,131,195$6,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,787.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd0c…e13ebacked Yes1c1,128,840$6,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,773.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x277f…221abacked Yes1c1,104,675$6,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,628.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2846…2609backed Yes1c1,104,271$6,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,625.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa145…0474backed Yes1c1,100,619$6,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,603.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b5…c176backed Yes1c1,100,190$6,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,601.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb197…febdbacked Yes1c1,100,190$6,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,601.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d6…d784backed Yes1c1,081,176$6,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,487.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4160…92b0backed Yes1c1,076,350$6,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,458.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a8…8192backed Yes1c1,057,953$6,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,347.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d66…8c6ebacked Yes1c1,052,724$6,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,316.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5b…d21fbacked Yes1c1,049,370$6,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,296.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa850…3249backed Yes1c1,049,370$6,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,296.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1750…cd29backed Yes1c1,030,826$6,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,184.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c358,484$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.94392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa1f…3202backed Yes1c311,586$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.5220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa959…0fe0backed Yes1c283,260$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c224,637$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.273116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes1c161,656$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.28130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a44…46b4backed Yes1c158,304$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b7…b462backed Yes1c158,304$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c125,042$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.21230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes1c97,860$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.3140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec02…8a96backed Yes1c90,940$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.3760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes1c89,999$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes0c64,829$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.343225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe678…71f1backed Yes0c47,000$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c60…463abacked Yes1c30,906$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e7…e18abacked Yes1c30,763$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce2…0c9dbacked Yes1c30,730$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d8…73bdbacked Yes1c30,670$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x805a…5af6backed Yes1c30,627$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…8ef5backed Yes1c30,554$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b0…7768backed Yes1c30,518$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc2…ee3dbacked Yes1c30,516$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…99b7backed Yes1c30,466$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf65…18f2backed Yes1c30,401$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6af…83ddbacked Yes1c30,318$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ed…cf98backed Yes1c30,157$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0145…5271backed Yes1c30,103$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf541…74f7backed Yes1c30,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…b40abacked Yes1c29,953$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c4…c799backed Yes1c29,925$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b6b…b18fbacked Yes1c29,833$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afe…0e14backed Yes1c29,801$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b2…c100backed Yes1c29,604$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a14…6ac2backed Yes1c29,370$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cac…3153backed Yes1c29,212$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b09…22a3backed Yes1c29,023$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…f714backed Yes1c28,880$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9882…6b6ebacked Yes1c28,864$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe686…a746backed Yes1c28,861$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73db…a3fcbacked Yes1c28,789$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0977…9526backed Yes1c28,759$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac52…3db9backed Yes1c28,703$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9260%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a67…1927backed Yes1c28,698$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb316…2f88backed Yes1c28,619$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e13…4b4cbacked Yes1c28,612$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…0f2abacked Yes1c28,594$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedcf…dd2abacked Yes1c28,564$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e31…84f1backed Yes1c28,523$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a3a8backed Yes1c28,519$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x967b…989dbacked Yes1c28,484$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a85…bcaebacked Yes1c28,480$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3213…b238backed Yes1c28,478$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82a…44fbbacked Yes1c28,464$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a8…b568backed Yes1c28,457$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb542…53d8backed Yes1c28,403$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f3…c6e2backed Yes1c28,401$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb0…bb9fbacked Yes1c28,391$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe769…c404backed Yes1c28,371$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd1…8ac9backed Yes1c28,275$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9705…17f4backed Yes1c28,272$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa322…d6e8backed Yes1c28,177$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…3885backed Yes1c28,159$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2731…2f98backed Yes1c28,109$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a30…6026backed Yes1c28,105$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd107…984abacked Yes1c28,095$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc84d…1e3dbacked Yes1c28,086$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6279…9ad8backed Yes1c28,080$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6172…7efebacked Yes1c28,080$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e5…79dfbacked Yes0c28,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…5f03backed Yes1c27,999$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e6…b941backed Yes1c27,989$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.