NHL · resolved market
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf29fa22170d0b76f638c36ecb9adbdd57696e743e49c2681a748b1f149b1f84c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,895,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,821,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,895,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x353a…73bfbacked Yes | 7c | 54,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…9d6dbacked Yes | 9c | 54,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…b2afbacked Yes | 7c | 53,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe17c…ae07backed Yes | 6c | 53,000$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004f…99d0backed Yes | 7c | 53,000$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b3…a65dbacked Yes | 4c | 52,000$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 4c | 46,617$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.56 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 2c | 36,742$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.94 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…371fbacked Yes | 4c | 35,602$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 5c | 35,374$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.09 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 8c | 32,822$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 3c | 28,000$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 7c | 16,597$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.15 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…051dbacked Yes | 8c | 14,014$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,002$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6eb…51e9backed Yes | 4c | 13,543$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 7c | 12,000$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480f…0905backed Yes | 5c | 8,625$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…1017backed Yes | 2c | 8,408$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 6c | 8,099$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…22dbbacked Yes | 4c | 6,492$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.95 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8da…8966backed Yes | 4c | 4,814$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc9…2c38backed Yes | 7c | 4,441$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…df18backed Yes | 7c | 4,333$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.94 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…1aa9backed Yes | 7c | 4,327$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…1c75backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,971$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 3c | 3,786$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 8c | 3,514$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.61 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…557abacked Yes | 7c | 3,426$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 7c | 3,315$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.73 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,279$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Yes | 5c | 3,246$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…f360backed Yes | 7c | 3,189$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…763abacked Yes | 2c | 3,062$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…d9f5backed Yes | 6c | 3,038$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Yes | 7c | 2,997$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…1621backed Yes | 2c | 2,733$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…088fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,674$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa728…5a45backed Yes | 4c | 2,632$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3479…f2bdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -51%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0059…f33fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,545$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…5295backed Yes | 7c | 2,506$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 6c | 2,390$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,259$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…541dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,250$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.49 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…9472backed Yes | 1c | 2,220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c65…8291backed Yes | 5c | 2,178$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,141$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 8c | 2,119$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Yes | 7c | 2,111$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…766dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,111$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…7274backed Yes | 5c | 2,099$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0696…41adbacked Yes | 4c | 2,070$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,060$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…4c5abacked Yes | 6c | 2,037$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 5c | 2,008$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…c903backed Yes | 7c | 2,004$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…cbc1backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 7c | 1,939$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…ca6fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,900$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…3d42backed Yes | 4c | 1,900$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…61bebacked Yes | 4c | 1,900$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…15a9backed Yes | 4c | 1,900$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…e105backed Yes | 4c | 1,900$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…137ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,900$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66a…0b3ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,900$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2910…cbe5backed Yes | 4c | 1,900$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…1405backed Yes | 4c | 1,900$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Yes | 7c | 1,895$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 1,848$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,800$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,764$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…aeaabacked Yes | 9c | 1,685$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 1,652$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…7ebbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,603$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Yes | 6c | 1,569$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 6c | 1,557$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 5c | 1,406$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…2dcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,377$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf0…6215backed Yes | 6c | 1,373$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,372$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 7c | 1,347$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 3c | 1,300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…53c9backed Yes | 3c | 1,270$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…75e4backed Yes | 3c | 1,268$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…e26dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,256$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6d…8b10backed Yes | 5c | 1,253$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7007…00aabacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 3c | 1,198$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…ab53backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 7c | 1,096$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.