TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,010,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,763,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,010,091 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 647 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90c8…8d1dbacked Yes1c1,707,328$8,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,536.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46b4…9764backed Yes1c1,684,256$8,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,421.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c323,970$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.85130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee8…85a6backed Yes1c277,031$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c254,648$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.19230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1efd…1106backed Yes1c243,748$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec02…8a96backed Yes1c207,369$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.2660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes1c132,237$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.27313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes2c129,255$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.3270249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c117,140$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.463116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c109,657$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.45140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Yes2c86,917$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43fb…f428backed Yes1c85,839$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9970…83b8backed Yes1c85,839$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae2…0eaebacked Yes1c72,357$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2938…ed24backed Yes0c70,000$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Yes0c68,355$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.994847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c62,153$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.07440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c42,433$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.55530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fe…3889backed Yes1c41,677$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefba…73bfbacked Yes1c41,645$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e7…2c82backed Yes1c41,067$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b7…4ed2backed Yes1c40,839$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3d…5e97backed Yes1c40,462$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa86a…843fbacked Yes1c40,422$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7e…f0fbbacked Yes1c40,370$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44e6…a458backed Yes1c40,345$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes0c40,167$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.77532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb73f…5877backed Yes1c40,109$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…34f2backed Yes1c40,037$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec3…4ec7backed Yes1c39,962$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c92…460abacked Yes1c39,894$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc349…ffe7backed Yes1c39,830$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfde…2fe0backed Yes1c39,816$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddd…53bfbacked Yes1c39,563$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0318…bb74backed Yes1c39,534$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de9…2a45backed Yes1c39,518$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x594a…1b3cbacked Yes1c39,310$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1629…feefbacked Yes1c39,296$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0806…2b89backed Yes1c39,280$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c16…e30fbacked Yes1c39,181$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68c…8886backed Yes1c39,131$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6723…595dbacked Yes1c39,112$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eab…7ef1backed Yes1c39,022$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9515…1fc4backed Yes1c39,001$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e9…9711backed Yes1c38,922$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b02…1d62backed Yes1c38,921$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b8…9beebacked Yes1c38,882$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc1…807cbacked Yes1c38,867$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9af5…8edabacked Yes1c38,827$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa4c…29b3backed Yes1c38,657$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a4…91cbbacked Yes1c38,540$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4073…23d4backed Yes1c38,537$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb51…14d1backed Yes1c38,506$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29be…aab6backed Yes1c38,500$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f65…05e4backed Yes1c38,483$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd757…a60cbacked Yes1c38,474$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc52e…3c82backed Yes1c38,426$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa95c…35c9backed Yes1c38,380$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d95…846fbacked Yes1c38,370$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc989…bb6fbacked Yes1c38,287$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x939b…63c8backed Yes1c38,163$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ee…fd13backed Yes1c38,133$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef7…07f3backed Yes1c38,026$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4df…e4efbacked Yes1c37,701$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…c7d6backed Yes1c37,677$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b18…b7aabacked Yes1c37,518$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a57…06bdbacked Yes1c37,448$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ac…ad69backed Yes1c37,350$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe118…cba3backed Yes1c37,302$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…e5fcbacked Yes1c37,165$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fd…af6bbacked Yes1c36,838$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe52…0544backed Yes1c36,671$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x190a…d42fbacked Yes1c36,599$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f0…35d3backed Yes1c36,452$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa94b…1219backed Yes1c36,451$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f9…9d20backed Yes1c36,308$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a9…7526backed Yes1c36,087$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514d…11e7backed Yes1c35,984$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab9…c729backed Yes1c35,892$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x254d…e6fdbacked Yes1c35,842$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e9a…56dabacked Yes1c35,615$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d8a…43eabacked Yes1c35,457$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff71…5f2dbacked Yes1c35,448$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb3e…5a50backed Yes1c33,198$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b26…aed0backed Yes1c33,188$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d52…3a5cbacked Yes1c33,117$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13cb…fa4ebacked Yes1c33,030$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa818…ab80backed Yes1c32,949$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf64d…93ecbacked Yes1c32,886$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0270…50c9backed Yes1c32,794$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8583…b844backed Yes1c32,750$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e4…0d25backed Yes1c32,515$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3727…57e3backed Yes1c32,451$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f5…74e5backed Yes1c32,416$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbe3…a6b8backed Yes1c32,372$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab38…a751backed Yes1c32,359$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e87…4027backed Yes1c32,192$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92c6…2156backed Yes1c32,176$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d71…b28ebacked Yes1c32,153$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.