TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,066,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,741,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,066,494 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf11…ab8fbacked Yes1c1,282,334$7,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,69410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d5…ea18backed Yes1c1,226,580$7,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,359.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17fa…4584backed Yes1c1,219,609$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,317.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8984…36ebbacked Yes1c1,219,609$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,317.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa959…0fe0backed Yes1c849,780$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,098.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa1f…3202backed Yes1c849,780$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,098.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9e…9d96backed Yes1c765,504$4,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,593.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c1…162ebacked Yes1c765,504$4,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,593.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c225,610$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.473116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes1c224,998$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.99130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c175,256$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.28230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes1c89,999$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes1c69,404$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.02392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes1c53,501$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0180%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafdb…71febacked Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes1c40,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c31,000$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f63…6fcbbacked Yes0c27,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a9…986fbacked Yes0c26,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95bc…e9c2backed Yes0c26,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b90…74e5backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd476…d57fbacked Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4405…3138backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f3…0c56backed Yes0c24,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f3…7709backed Yes1c23,658$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes0c22,220$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.777532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4a7…39a0backed Yes0c21,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c21,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af3…dc15backed Yes1c20,138$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.831225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-54.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f1f…3088backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…8257backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b32…ddaabacked Yes1c16,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes0c15,560$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.73313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c65…8291backed Yes1c15,323$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9460%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc28…c667backed Yes0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Yes0c11,902$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.911951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes4c11,063$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4633837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82c2…5c8cbacked Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes1c10,704$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.227540%30 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e46…8227backed Yes1c10,285$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.71333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid-21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes1c10,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57df…7231backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c7,979$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.02530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…bca9backed Yes1c7,872$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6f…9855backed Yes1c7,253$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb783…7005backed Yes1c7,020$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f10…8ee9backed Yes1c6,703$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb5…3a37backed Yes1c6,667$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Yes1c5,922$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d73…a285backed Yes1c5,833$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4811…d6bfbacked Yes1c5,185$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c5,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11a5…4032backed Yes1c3,866$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.33714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-58%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes1c3,711$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9834032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3732…feb0backed Yes1c3,560$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes1c3,504$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.746613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-75.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e8…ac29backed Yes1c3,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5097…42cabacked Yes1c3,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b1…a593backed Yes1c3,265$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b3…a900backed Yes1c3,255$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dde…57c9backed Yes1c3,210$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes1c3,077$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.03120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes1c3,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2126547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c5…019cbacked Yes1c2,725$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d29…e8cbbacked Yes1c2,567$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0af…875bbacked Yes1c2,566$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.440%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…c295backed Yes1c2,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe724…5ad6backed Yes1c2,498$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…284fbacked Yes1c2,490$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e76…e4e6backed Yes1c2,363$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa2…6a2bbacked Yes1c2,338$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…d1cbbacked Yes1c2,330$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x384a…c7cabacked Yes1c2,310$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e2…f0b8backed Yes1c2,302$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709c…70adbacked Yes1c2,291$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6301…90aebacked Yes1c2,242$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…2178backed Yes1c2,238$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.43714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-71.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x343f…7122backed Yes1c2,103$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f0…7a47backed Yes1c2,101$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9162…0e22backed Yes1c2,030$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc15d…6186backed Yes1c2,020$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd8…4258backed Yes1c2,010$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3e…11c8backed Yes1c2,010$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb498…772dbacked Yes1c2,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3d…1c0dbacked Yes1c1,935$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eee…2209backed Yes1c1,908$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba4e…a500backed Yes1c1,854$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa774…d31fbacked Yes1c1,838$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes1c1,805$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27160%0 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12e6…0b16backed Yes1c1,784$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa8f…4c58backed Yes1c1,764$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c1,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.570%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes1c1,430$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.