World Politics · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6220c4164a293367cd40eba018dd6e67c78e4d48e74158845cc9361230bcb34d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,848,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,493,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,848,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,810 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 41c | 452,331$183,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268,400.59 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 40c | 316,973$128,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188,688.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +1,419.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 48c | 255,880$122,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,089.67 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 51c | 254,322$130,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,627.8 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 53c | 247,860$131,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,084.24 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 45c | 231,360$103,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,860.53 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2a…f505backed No | 49c | 206,286$101,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,169.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…1b01backed Yes | 36c | 188,468$68,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,161.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 35c | 185,291$64,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,906.3 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 27c | 175,411$47,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,263.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 70c | 173,601$122,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,550.63 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 25c | 154,992$38,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,990.66 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed Yes | 50c | 151,193$75,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,198.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 2c | 141,999$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.52 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 76c | 133,569$101,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,231.94 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 40c | 129,659$51,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,088.79 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…8b4abacked Yes | 38c | 115,335$44,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,995.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 48c | 109,997$53,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,697.66 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 28c | 108,625$30,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,751.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…1477backed Yes | 28c | 106,228$29,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,543.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 31c | 99,239$30,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,347.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…2f2fbacked Yes | 35c | 92,451$32,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,293.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…16d4backed Yes | 34c | 87,914$30,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,803.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…cac5backed Yes | 34c | 87,244$30,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,181.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…2674backed Yes | 32c | 81,861$25,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,018.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +216.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 20c | 76,110$14,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,198.35 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4040…89b6backed Yes | 27c | 74,607$20,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,212.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d78…3e8cbacked No | 0c | 74,565$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…96c8backed Yes | 6c | 70,021$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,819.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.61per pick | 14cpaid | +526.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 13c | 67,053$8,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,133.48 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 8cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 37c | 65,997$24,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,384.94 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 54c | 62,240$33,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,495.11 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Yes | 47c | 62,018$29,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,595.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 70c | 59,328$41,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,505.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 53c | 57,514$30,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,764.41 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 46c | 55,000$25,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,643.6 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed No | 64c | 52,171$33,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,223.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…931bbacked No | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…099bbacked No | 1c | 48,169$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 19c | 47,911$8,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,044.27 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…366bbacked No | 63c | 47,000$29,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,421.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…1386backed Yes | 53c | 46,924$24,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,012.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 18c | 42,692$7,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,971.86 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…6233backed Yes | 36c | 41,713$15,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,688.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 31cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa152…2d9fbacked Yes | 66c | 41,414$27,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,132.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked No | 6c | 40,143$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.34 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…7b71backed Yes | 34c | 40,129$13,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,341.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…d789backed No | 63c | 39,506$25,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,016.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 29c | 39,185$11,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,683.41 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 38c | 38,818$14,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,077.44 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 43c | 38,040$16,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,576.95 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 27c | 37,744$10,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,740.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 42c | 37,008$15,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,346.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 19c | 37,008$6,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,114.02 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed No | 54c | 35,981$19,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,537 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 67c | 34,509$23,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,142.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked Yes | 75c | 33,044$24,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,133.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed No | 3c | 32,926$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 58c | 32,852$19,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,795.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked Yes | 28c | 32,401$9,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,311.87 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.61per pick | 27cpaid | +216.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3274…7a23backed Yes | 28c | 31,564$8,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,762.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 66c | 31,085$20,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,485.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 76c | 30,000$22,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,780 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…6924backed Yes | 49c | 29,896$14,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,214.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Yes | 30c | 29,865$8,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,963.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…a7bdbacked No | 56c | 29,645$16,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,607 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 41c | 29,552$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,311.78 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 38c | 29,460$11,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,384.08 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 19c | 28,166$5,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,699.78 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Yes | 19c | 26,772$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,772.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +435.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 38c | 26,553$10,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,504.48 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…9b0fbacked Yes | 31c | 26,435$8,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,252.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 10c | 26,403$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…6ed6backed Yes | 48c | 26,315$12,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,608.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 59c | 26,240$15,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,801.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7009…4c1dbacked Yes | 24c | 25,863$6,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,614.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +313.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…ce93backed Yes | 19c | 25,690$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,700.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +414.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db6…1c77backed No | 0c | 25,600$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…b9bbbacked No | 40c | 24,784$9,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,836 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…81a7backed No | 1c | 24,386$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 55c | 24,383$13,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,960.37 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 26c | 24,131$6,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,962.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 56c | 23,982$13,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,576.59 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 25c | 23,856$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,882.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 23,725$6,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,038.48 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 26c | 23,500$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,489.93 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Yes | 48c | 23,181$11,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,064.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 29c | 23,180$6,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,526.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 63c | 23,121$14,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,592.89 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 22c | 22,034$4,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,267.42 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 19c | 22,000$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,849.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked No | 47c | 21,733$10,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,207.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked No | 58c | 21,577$12,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,574.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 34c | 21,545$7,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,269.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 43c | 21,508$9,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,202.45 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 35c | 21,127$7,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,714.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed No | 50c | 20,846$10,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,381.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed No | 36c | 20,012$7,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,195.67 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 0c | 19,643$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 17c | 18,951$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,717.98 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?this page
- Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.