World Politics · resolved market
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x629b886410c79226d96e2a5a81dee78652b775243ac0f5b2bcf34fd696543fd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,308,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $782,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,308,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 0c | 251,950$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.21 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 8cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 89,124$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.11 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 59,444$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 51,237$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…9cb4backed Yes | 3c | 42,500$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4674…10a3backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…8073backed Yes | 6c | 38,000$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 20,136$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 0c | 14,171$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…e042backed Yes | 0c | 13,220$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…0b33backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 0c | 10,725$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…b139backed Yes | 3c | 6,218$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 2cpaid | +852.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…de52backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…96a3backed Yes | 0c | 5,600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…44a0backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…0796backed Yes | 5c | 3,606$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +572%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 5c | 789.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 4c | 691.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 4c | 587.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked Yes | 4c | 502.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…88bcbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 65c | 72.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes won
- Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.